Football · Faroe Islands Div 1 · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: IF Fuglafjordur vs TB Tvoroyri

Team pages: IF Fuglafjordur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

IF Fuglafjordur2.1

TB Tvoroyri1.96

1X2

41% 24% 35%

IF Fuglafjordur Draw TB Tvoroyri

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

IF Fuglafjordur 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWLWD

TB Tvoroyri 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDWLDD

Head-to-head

IF Fuglafjordur 4–2–0 TB Tvoroyri (6 last)

TB Tvoroyri0-3IF Fuglafjordur
IF Fuglafjordur1-1TB Tvoroyri
IF Fuglafjordur1-0TB Tvoroyri
TB Tvoroyri1-2IF Fuglafjordur
TB Tvoroyri0-1IF Fuglafjordur
TB Tvoroyri0-0IF Fuglafjordur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IF Fuglafjordur 1537 · TB Tvoroyri 1506

	IF Fuglafjordur	Draw	TB Tvoroyri
Our model	42%	22%	36%
Market	40%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IF Fuglafjordur: 4-2-0.
High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IF Fuglafjordur	TB Tvoroyri
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.8	2.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	2 / 1	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/0/33%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 6.3	4 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 4.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:09 +9’	2.25	3.50	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Fuglafjordur 4–2–0 TB Tvoroyri

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Faroe Islands Div 1	TB Tvoroyri	0-3	IF Fuglafjordur
25/04/26 Faroe Islands Div 1	IF Fuglafjordur	1-1	TB Tvoroyri
22/10/23 Faroe Islands Premier League	IF Fuglafjordur	1-0 HT 0-0	TB Tvoroyri
29/07/23 Faroe Islands Premier League	TB Tvoroyri	1-2 HT 0-0	IF Fuglafjordur
26/04/23 Faroe Islands Premier League	TB Tvoroyri	0-1 HT 0-1	IF Fuglafjordur
15/10/22 Faroe Islands Div 1	TB Tvoroyri	0-0	IF Fuglafjordur

Standings · Faroe Islands Div 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	B71 Sandur	24	19	2	3	76	25	59
2	Vikingur Gota II	24	17	3	4	61	39	54
3	FC Suduroy	24	16	2	6	73	33	50
4	IF Fuglafjordur	24	10	7	7	55	48	37
5	TB Tvoroyri	24	8	7	9	46	51	31
6	B36 Torshavn II	24	9	2	13	51	62	29
7	NSI Runavik II	24	7	4	13	34	55	25
8	FC Hoyvik	24	7	2	15	36	67	23
9	HB Torshavn II	24	5	7	12	30	41	22
10	EB/Streymur II	24	3	2	19	30	71	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IF Fuglafjordur	TB Tvoroyri
HB Torshavn II	1-1 D	4-4 D
NSI Runavik II	2-1 W	5-1 W
FC Hoyvik	1-2 L	0-0 D
EB/Streymur II	3-1 W	2-2 D
B36 Torshavn II	9-3 W	4-3 W
Vikingur Gota II	1-4 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TB Tvoroyri (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IF Fuglafjordur

WLWWLWWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	HB Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	NSI Runavik II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	2-1	–	–	W
04/09	FC Hoyvik Faroe Islands Div 1	0-2	1-2	10	5	L
29/08	EB/Streymur II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	B36 Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1	4-0	9-3	6	3	W
15/08	Vikingur Gota II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	1-4	–	–	L
08/08	TB Tvoroyri Faroe Islands Div 1	–	3-0	–	–	W
01/08	EB/Streymur II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	3-1	–	–	W
04/07	Vikingur Gota II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	3-4	–	–	L
27/06	FC Hoyvik Faroe Islands Div 1	2-1	2-1	3	2	W

TB Tvoroyri

LWWLWDWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Hoyvik Faroe Islands Div 1	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	HB Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	4-4	–	–	D
09/09	Vikingur Gota II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	NSI Runavik II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	5-1	–	–	W
22/08	EB/Streymur II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	B36 Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	4-3	–	–	W
08/08	IF Fuglafjordur Faroe Islands Div 1	–	0-3	–	–	L
01/08	HB Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1	1-1	3-1	8	5	W
04/07	EB/Streymur II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	3-1	–	–	W
28/06	B71 Sandur Faroe Islands Div 1	–	1-6	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IF Fuglafjordur vs TB Tvoroyri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IF Fuglafjordur win (41%). Probabilities: IF Fuglafjordur 41%, draw 24%, TB Tvoroyri 35%.

How many goals are expected in IF Fuglafjordur vs TB Tvoroyri?

The model expects 4.07 goals (IF Fuglafjordur 2.1 · TB Tvoroyri 1.96), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IF Fuglafjordur vs TB Tvoroyri?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.