Football · Faroe Islands Div 1 · 24/10, 16:45

Prediction: IF Fuglafjordur vs FC Suduroy

Team pages: IF Fuglafjordur · FC Suduroy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.4Total

IF Fuglafjordur1.63

FC Suduroy2.76

1X2

20% 19% 60%

IF Fuglafjordur Draw FC Suduroy

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

IF Fuglafjordur 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWDLL

FC Suduroy 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

IF Fuglafjordur 1–1 FC Suduroy (2 last)

FC Suduroy1-4IF Fuglafjordur
FC Suduroy6-1IF Fuglafjordur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IF Fuglafjordur 1504 · FC Suduroy 1577

	IF Fuglafjordur	Draw	FC Suduroy
Our model	21%	18%	61%
Market	20%	20%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 4.4 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Suduroy (rating 1504 vs 1577).
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IF Fuglafjordur	FC Suduroy
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2.3	3.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.3	3 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/0/67%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.3	3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.50

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.00

2 (-1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 41.82

Under 41.98

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:52 +26’	4.50	4.50	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Fuglafjordur 1–0–1 FC Suduroy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Faroe Islands Div 1	FC Suduroy	1-4	IF Fuglafjordur
14/03/26 Faroe Islands Div 1	FC Suduroy	6-1	IF Fuglafjordur

Standings · Faroe Islands Div 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	B71 Sandur	26	20	3	3	84	27	63
2	Vikingur Gota II	26	19	3	4	72	43	60
3	FC Suduroy	26	18	2	6	81	36	56
4	IF Fuglafjordur	26	10	7	9	56	58	37
5	TB Tvoroyri	26	9	7	10	50	56	34
6	B36 Torshavn II	26	10	2	14	54	66	32
7	NSI Runavik II	26	7	5	14	36	59	26
8	FC Hoyvik	26	8	2	16	41	75	26
9	HB Torshavn II	26	6	7	13	35	45	25
10	EB/Streymur II	26	3	2	21	31	75	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IF Fuglafjordur	FC Suduroy
B71 Sandur	0-6 L	4-1 W
TB Tvoroyri	1-4 L	4-0 W
HB Torshavn II	1-1 D	4-3 W
NSI Runavik II	2-1 W	4-0 W
FC Hoyvik	1-2 L	3-0 W
EB/Streymur II	3-1 W	6-1 W
B36 Torshavn II	9-3 W	4-2 W
Vikingur Gota II	1-4 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Suduroy (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IF Fuglafjordur

WWLWWLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	B71 Sandur Faroe Islands Div 1	–	0-6	–	–	L
10/10	TB Tvoroyri Faroe Islands Div 1	0-2	1-4	6	0	L
18/09	HB Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	NSI Runavik II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	2-1	–	–	W
04/09	FC Hoyvik Faroe Islands Div 1	0-2	1-2	10	5	L
29/08	EB/Streymur II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	B36 Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1	4-0	9-3	6	3	W
15/08	Vikingur Gota II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	1-4	–	–	L
08/08	TB Tvoroyri Faroe Islands Div 1	–	3-0	–	–	W
01/08	EB/Streymur II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	3-1	–	–	W

FC Suduroy

WLWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	TB Tvoroyri Faroe Islands Div 1	–	4-0	–	–	W
10/10	HB Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	4-3	–	–	W
19/09	Vikingur Gota II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	3-4	–	–	L
13/09	B71 Sandur Faroe Islands Div 1	–	4-1	–	–	W
06/09	B36 Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1	3-0	4-2	3	3	W
29/08	FC Hoyvik Faroe Islands Div 1	–	3-0	–	–	W
22/08	NSI Runavik II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	4-0	–	–	W
15/08	EB/Streymur II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	6-1	–	–	W
08/08	FC Hoyvik Faroe Islands Div 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
01/08	B36 Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IF Fuglafjordur vs FC Suduroy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Suduroy win (60%). Probabilities: IF Fuglafjordur 20%, draw 19%, FC Suduroy 60%.

How many goals are expected in IF Fuglafjordur vs FC Suduroy?

The model expects 4.4 goals (IF Fuglafjordur 1.63 · FC Suduroy 2.76), with a 54% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in IF Fuglafjordur vs FC Suduroy?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.