Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 28/08, 19:15

Prediction: FK Union Carl Berner vs KFUM 2

Team pages: FK Union Carl Berner · KFUM 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.91Total

FK Union Carl Berner2.35

KFUM 21.56

1X2

55% 20% 25%

FK Union Carl Berner Draw KFUM 2

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Union Carl Berner 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLLLL

KFUM 2 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLWDLWLW

Head-to-head

FK Union Carl Berner 1–0 KFUM 2 (1 last)

KFUM 20-1FK Union Carl Berner

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Union Carl Berner 1479 · KFUM 2 1509

	FK Union Carl Berner	Draw	KFUM 2
Our model	54%	21%	25%
Market	56%	19%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.91 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Union Carl Berner	KFUM 2
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	2.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	2.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.75

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 41.88

Under 41.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 12:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 1.61▼	Bet365 1.61
X	4.33 → 4.75▲	Pinn 4.79
2	2.60 → 3.50▲	Pinn 4.68 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:52 +15’	2.00	4.33	2.60
21:43 +6’	1.80▼	4.33	3.00▲
10:18 +21’	1.75▼	4.50▲	3.10▲
12:51 +6’	1.61▼	4.75▲	3.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:50 +1’	1.64	4.16	3.62
10:39	1.57▼	4.32▲	3.86▲
15:04 +4’	1.55▼	4.39▲	3.92▲
17:46	1.45▼	4.79▲	4.68▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 4

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Union Carl Berner 1–0–0 KFUM 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1	KFUM 2	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Union Carl Berner

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asker	16	14	1	1	55	20	43
2	Gamle Oslo	16	11	1	4	60	30	34
3	Baerum	16	10	1	5	56	29	31
4	Heming	16	9	3	4	35	25	30
5	Valerenga 2	16	9	1	6	40	47	28
6	IF Ready	16	7	6	3	38	26	27
7	Frigg	16	7	5	4	39	31	26
8	FK Union Carl Berner	16	7	0	9	25	26	21
9	KFUM 2	16	5	2	9	34	45	17
10	Nordstrand	16	5	1	10	27	40	16
11	Ullern	16	4	2	10	29	41	14
12	Lokomotiv Oslo	16	4	2	10	25	50	14
13	Konnerud	16	4	0	12	24	46	12
14	Grei	16	3	1	12	25	56	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Union Carl Berner	KFUM 2
Ullern	1-4 L	3-2 W
Valerenga 2	1-2 L	2-1 W
Grei	2-1 W	5-0 W
Heming	0-2 L	2-2 D
Lokomotiv Oslo	8-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KFUM 2 (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Union Carl Berner

WWLWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	1-4	7	1	L
07/08	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	1-2	8	3	L
31/07	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	1-3	0	4	L
27/07	Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
26/06	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
20/06	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
13/06	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/05	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
25/05	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
14/05	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	5-0	8-0	4	2	W

KFUM 2

WWDLWDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-2	7-2	12	4	W
10/08	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	1-5	2	2	L
03/08	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	5-0	4	3	W
27/07	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
28/06	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	2-2	6	1	D
20/06	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-1	3-2	5	3	W
14/06	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	1-4	2	4	L
30/05	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	2-2	4	5	D
23/05	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-1	3-2	6	9	W
15/05	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-1	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Union Carl Berner vs KFUM 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Union Carl Berner win (55%). Probabilities: FK Union Carl Berner 55%, draw 20%, KFUM 2 25%.

How many goals are expected in FK Union Carl Berner vs KFUM 2?

The model expects 3.91 goals (FK Union Carl Berner 2.35 · KFUM 2 1.56), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Union Carl Berner vs KFUM 2?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.