Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Grorud vs Tromsdalen
Team pages: Grorud · Tromsdalen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Grorud1.69
Tromsdalen1.38
1X2
Grorud
Draw
Tromsdalen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Grorud
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Tromsdalen
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Grorud
3–1–2
Tromsdalen
(6 last)
- Tromsdalen0-2Grorud
- Tromsdalen1-2Grorud
- Grorud0-3Tromsdalen
- Tromsdalen4-3Grorud
- Grorud4-1Tromsdalen
- Tromsdalen3-3Grorud
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grorud 1540 · Tromsdalen 1472
| Grorud | Draw | Tromsdalen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 24% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grorud (rating 1540 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Grorud: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grorud | Tromsdalen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.5 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grorud 3–1–2 Tromsdalen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Tromsdalen | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Grorud |
| 25/10/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Tromsdalen | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Grorud |
| 30/03/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Grorud | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Tromsdalen |
| 17/08/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Tromsdalen | 4-3 HT 1-2 | Grorud |
| 21/04/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Grorud | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Tromsdalen |
| 31/07/16 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Tromsdalen | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Grorud |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold TF | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 14 | 38 |
| 2 | Kjelsås | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Honefoss | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 32 |
| 4 | Levanger | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | Grorud | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 15 | 26 |
| 6 | Lørenskog | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 26 |
| 7 | Tromsdalen | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 27 | 23 |
| 8 | Stjørdals/Blink | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 20 |
| 9 | Junkeren | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 20 |
| 10 | Rana FK | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 27 | 17 |
| 11 | Skeid | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 13 |
| 12 | Follo | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 9 |
| 13 | Ullensaker/Kisa | 15 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 53 | 9 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Grorud | Tromsdalen |
|---|---|---|
| Trygg/Lade | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Skeid | 5-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Stjørdals/Blink | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Lørenskog | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Ullensaker/Kisa | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Honefoss | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Grorud (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grorud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Tromsdalen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/06 | Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grorud vs Tromsdalen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Grorud win (45%). Probabilities: Grorud 45%, draw 25%, Tromsdalen 31%.
How many goals are expected in Grorud vs Tromsdalen?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Grorud 1.69 · Tromsdalen 1.38), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Grorud vs Tromsdalen?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.