Prediction: Suwon FC vs Jeonnam Dragons
Expected goals: 2.9 (Suwon FC 1.73 · Jeonnam Dragons 1.17). The model gives 49% home, 26% draw, 25% away. Over 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Suwon FC sits at 2-5-3 (W-D-L), while Jeonnam Dragons arrives on a 0-6-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Suwon FC won 1 and Jeonnam Dragons 2, with 3 draws.
| Suwon FC | Draw | Jeonnam Dragons | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suwon FC (rating 1498 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Jeonnam Dragons: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suwon FC | Jeonnam Dragons | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.8 | 1.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suwon FC 1–3–2 Jeonnam Dragons
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/21 South Korea Cup | Suwon FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Jeonnam Dragons |
| 18/10/20 South Korea K League 2 | Suwon FC | 3-4 HT 3-3 | Jeonnam Dragons |
| 06/09/20 South Korea K League 2 | Suwon FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Jeonnam Dragons |
| 28/06/20 South Korea K League 2 | Jeonnam Dragons | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Suwon FC |
| 02/10/19 South Korea K League 2 | Jeonnam Dragons | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Suwon FC |
| 01/09/19 South Korea K League 2 | Suwon FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Jeonnam Dragons |
Standings · South Korea K League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busan I Park | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Daegu FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 28 |
| 4 | Suwon FC | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 21 | 26 |
| 5 | Seoul E-Land FC | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | Hwaseong FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 25 |
| 7 | Gimpo FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 8 | Chungnam Asan FC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 20 |
| 9 | Cheonan City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Seongnam FC | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 11 | Yongin FC | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 12 | Gyeongnam FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 13 | Paju Frontier FC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 14 | Chungbuk Cheongju | 15 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 13 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 11 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 8 |
| 17 | Gimhae FC 2008 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Suwon FC | Jeonnam Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Ansan Greeners FC | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Seongnam FC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Hwaseong FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Gimpo FC | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Busan I Park | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Seoul E-Land FC | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suwon FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
Jeonnam Dragons
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suwon FC vs Jeonnam Dragons?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suwon FC win (49%). Probabilities: Suwon FC 49%, draw 26%, Jeonnam Dragons 25%.
How many goals are expected in Suwon FC vs Jeonnam Dragons?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Suwon FC 1.73 · Jeonnam Dragons 1.17), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Suwon FC vs Jeonnam Dragons?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.