Football · South Korea K League 2 · 18/07, 12:30
Prediction: Seongnam FC vs Busan I Park
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Seongnam FC1.22
Busan I Park1.29
1X2
Seongnam FC
Draw
Busan I Park
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Seongnam FC
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Busan I Park
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Seongnam FC
1–4–1
Busan I Park
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Busan I Park (rating 1474 vs 1539).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Seongnam FC | Busan I Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.3 | 1.8 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Seongnam FC 1–4–1 Busan I Park
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/26 South Korea K League 2 | Busan I Park | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Seongnam FC |
| 23/11/25 South Korea K League 2 | Seongnam FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Busan I Park |
| 12/07/25 South Korea K League 2 | Busan I Park | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Seongnam FC |
| 24/05/25 South Korea K League 2 | Seongnam FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Busan I Park |
| 01/09/24 South Korea K League 2 | Busan I Park | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Seongnam FC |
| 29/06/24 South Korea K League 2 | Busan I Park | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Seongnam FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busan I Park | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 36 |
| 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 32 |
| 3 | Daegu FC | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 22 | 31 |
| 4 | Suwon FC | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 21 | 29 |
| 5 | Seoul E-Land FC | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 29 |
| 6 | Hwaseong FC | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 25 |
| 7 | Chungnam Asan FC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 24 |
| 8 | Gimpo FC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 24 |
| 9 | Gyeongnam FC | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 20 |
| 10 | Cheonan City | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| 11 | Yongin FC | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 17 |
| 12 | Paju Frontier FC | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 22 | 17 |
| 13 | Seongnam FC | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 17 |
| 14 | Chungbuk Cheongju | 16 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 14 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners FC | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 14 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 31 | 9 |
| 17 | Gimhae FC 2008 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Seongnam FC | Busan I Park |
|---|---|---|
| Suwon Bluewings | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Gimhae FC 2008 | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Suwon FC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Jeonnam Dragons | 0-0 D | 3-3 D |
| Yongin FC | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Cheonan City | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Paju Frontier FC | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Busan I Park (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Seongnam FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/06 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
Busan I Park
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 05/06 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Seongnam FC vs Busan I Park?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Busan I Park win (37%). Probabilities: Seongnam FC 34%, draw 29%, Busan I Park 37%.
How many goals are expected in Seongnam FC vs Busan I Park?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Seongnam FC 1.22 · Busan I Park 1.29), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Seongnam FC vs Busan I Park?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.