Football · South Korea K League 2 · 02/08, 12:30

Prediction: Jeonnam Dragons vs Paju Frontier FC

Team pages: Jeonnam Dragons · Paju Frontier FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.33Total

Jeonnam Dragons1.38

Paju Frontier FC0.95

1X2

46% 29% 25%

Jeonnam Dragons Draw Paju Frontier FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Jeonnam Dragons 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLDDLLWD

Paju Frontier FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLLLWWDL

Head-to-head

Jeonnam Dragons 0–1 Paju Frontier FC (1 last)

Paju Frontier FC2-0Jeonnam Dragons

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jeonnam Dragons 1451 · Paju Frontier FC 1474

	Jeonnam Dragons	Draw	Paju Frontier FC
Our model	46%	30%	24%
Market	47%	28%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jeonnam Dragons	Paju Frontier FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.9	0.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.1 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.3	1.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.25

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 2.24 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.46
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:18 +10’	1.91	3.25	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:21	2.25	3.42	2.98
06:19	2.24▼	3.46▲	3.07▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeonnam Dragons 0–0–1 Paju Frontier FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 South Korea K League 2	Paju Frontier FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Jeonnam Dragons

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Busan I Park	18	11	3	4	36	25	36
2	Suwon Bluewings	18	11	3	4	26	15	36
3	Suwon FC	18	9	6	3	38	24	33
4	Seoul E-Land FC	18	10	3	5	34	24	33
5	Daegu FC	18	9	5	4	37	25	32
6	Hwaseong FC	18	9	4	5	29	21	31
7	Gimpo FC	18	6	8	4	21	20	26
8	Chungnam Asan FC	18	6	6	6	26	23	24
9	Gyeongnam FC	18	6	6	6	26	26	24
10	Seongnam FC	17	4	8	5	17	18	20
11	Cheonan City	18	4	7	7	22	24	19
12	Yongin FC	18	3	9	6	21	27	18
13	Chungbuk Cheongju	18	2	12	4	21	28	18
14	Paju Frontier FC	18	5	3	10	17	23	18
15	Ansan Greeners FC	18	5	2	11	18	34	17
16	Jeonnam Dragons	18	2	7	9	20	32	13
17	Gimhae FC 2008	17	2	4	11	14	34	10

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jeonnam Dragons	Paju Frontier FC
Busan I Park	3-3 D	1-4 L
Gimpo FC	2-2 D	0-1 L
Chungbuk Cheongju	2-2 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jeonnam Dragons (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Jeonnam Dragons

DDLLDDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
18/07	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	3	11	W
15/07	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea Cup	1-2	3-4	4	9	L
10/07	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	0-2	0-5	1	5	L
05/07	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	2-0	3-3	3	4	D
07/06	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	1-2	2-2	7	6	D
31/05	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
23/05	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	12	1	L
16/05	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-2	13	4	D
10/05	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	3	5	D

Paju Frontier FC

DDLLLLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
19/07	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
15/07	Gangneung City South Korea Cup	0-0	3-2	6	2	W
11/07	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
04/07	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
05/06	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	6	8	L
30/05	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-4	6	2	L
25/05	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
16/05	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
03/05	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	6	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jeonnam Dragons vs Paju Frontier FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jeonnam Dragons win (46%). Probabilities: Jeonnam Dragons 46%, draw 29%, Paju Frontier FC 25%.

How many goals are expected in Jeonnam Dragons vs Paju Frontier FC?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Jeonnam Dragons 1.38 · Paju Frontier FC 0.95), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Jeonnam Dragons vs Paju Frontier FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.