Prediction: Cheonan City vs Gimhae FC 2008
Expected goals: 2.69 (Cheonan City 1.51 · Gimhae FC 2008 1.18). The model gives 43% home, 28% draw, 29% away. Over 2.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Cheonan City with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Gimhae FC 2008 has piled up 1-3-6 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Cheonan City won 3 and Gimhae FC 2008 1, with 2 draws.
| Cheonan City | Draw | Gimhae FC 2008 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cheonan City (rating 1500 vs 1431).
- H2H favours Cheonan City: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cheonan City | Gimhae FC 2008 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3 | 1 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.6 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cheonan City 3–2–1 Gimhae FC 2008
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/22 South Korea K3 League | Cheonan City | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Gimhae FC 2008 |
| 06/08/22 South Korea K3 League | Gimhae FC 2008 | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Cheonan City |
| 14/08/21 South Korea K3 League | Gimhae FC 2008 | 1-5 HT 0-3 | Cheonan City |
| 11/04/21 South Korea K3 League | Cheonan City | 2-1 | Gimhae FC 2008 |
| 18/07/20 South Korea K3 League | Gimhae FC 2008 | 1-1 | Cheonan City |
| 06/06/20 South Korea Cup | Gimhae FC 2008 | 4-2 HT 3-2 | Cheonan City |
Standings · South Korea K League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busan I Park | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Daegu FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 28 |
| 4 | Suwon FC | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 21 | 26 |
| 5 | Seoul E-Land FC | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | Hwaseong FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 25 |
| 7 | Gimpo FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 8 | Chungnam Asan FC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 20 |
| 9 | Cheonan City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Seongnam FC | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 11 | Yongin FC | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 12 | Gyeongnam FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 13 | Paju Frontier FC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 14 | Chungbuk Cheongju | 15 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 13 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 11 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 8 |
| 17 | Gimhae FC 2008 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cheonan City | Gimhae FC 2008 |
|---|---|---|
| Gyeongnam FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Busan I Park | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Chungnam Asan FC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Seongnam FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Daegu FC | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Chungbuk Cheongju | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Cheonan City (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cheonan City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
Gimhae FC 2008
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cheonan City vs Gimhae FC 2008?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cheonan City win (43%). Probabilities: Cheonan City 43%, draw 28%, Gimhae FC 2008 29%.
How many goals are expected in Cheonan City vs Gimhae FC 2008?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Cheonan City 1.51 · Gimhae FC 2008 1.18), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cheonan City vs Gimhae FC 2008?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.