Football · Norway Division 3 Group 3 · 02/08, 14:00

Prediction: Varegg vs Fana

Team pages: Varegg · Fana

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.84Total
Varegg1.42
Fana2.42
1X2
21% 20% 59%
Varegg Draw Fana
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Varegg 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
WLDLLLLDDL
Fana 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWWDLLWWLW
Head-to-head
Varegg 0–3 Fana (3 last)
  • Fana4-2Varegg
  • Fana3-0Varegg
  • Varegg0-1Fana
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Varegg 1426 · Fana 1527
VareggDrawFana
Our model21%20%59%
Market21%20%59%
Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fana (rating 1426 vs 1527).
  • H2H favours Fana: 3-0-0.
  • High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VareggFana
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.92.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.81.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.82.6 / 8.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 03.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Varegg 003 Fana

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
Norway Division 3 Group 3
Fana4-2
HT 1-1
Varegg
13/10/18
Norway Division 3 Group 4
Fana3-0Varegg
23/06/18
Norway Division 3 Group 4
Varegg0-1Fana

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Os 141103 522633
2 Askøy 14941 251431
3 Vard Haugesund 14743 322525
4 Brann 2 13733 322124
5 Djerv 1919 13553 281920
6 Sogndal 2 12615 342419
7 Fana 14617 343219
8 Førde 13616 202519
9 Austevoll 14455 293617
10 Stord 13355 233114
11 Åsane Fotball 2 13346 212813
12 Gneist 14419 284213
13 Varegg 13238 16289
14 Fyllingsdalen 141310 15386

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVareggFana
Os 0-4 L 3-5 L
Stord 1-1 D 2-0 W
Djerv 1919 2-3 L 4-3 W
Åsane Fotball 2 0-2 L 3-0 W
Askøy 1-2 L 2-2 D
Austevoll 2-2 D 2-5 L
Førde 1-3 L 1-2 L
Fyllingsdalen 1-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 5 L 4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fana (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Varegg

WLDLLLLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Os
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-1 0-4 31 L
28/06 Vard Haugesund
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 1-1 11 D
20/06 Stord
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 1-1 D
13/06 Gneist
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 0-1 63 L
30/05 Djerv 1919
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-3 2-3 52 L
16/05 Åsane Fotball 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-2 0-2 45 L
09/05 Askøy
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-1 1-2 L
01/05 Austevoll
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 2-2 D
25/04 Førde
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-1 1-3 L
18/04 Fyllingsdalen
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 1-0 103 W

Fana

LWWDLLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Djerv 1919
Norway Division 3 Group 3
2-0 4-3 W
27/06 Brann 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-3 2-3 75 L
22/06 Sogndal 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
3-1 5-2 121 W
13/06 Fyllingsdalen
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-0 2-0 122 W
30/05 Førde
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-0 1-2 96 L
22/05 Austevoll
Norway Division 3 Group 3
2-3 2-5 L
16/05 Askøy
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-1 2-2 D
11/05 Åsane Fotball 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
2-0 3-0 W
01/05 Stord
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-0 2-0 45 W
25/04 Os
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-3 3-5 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Varegg vs Fana?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fana win (59%). Probabilities: Varegg 21%, draw 20%, Fana 59%.

How many goals are expected in Varegg vs Fana?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Varegg 1.42 · Fana 2.42), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Varegg vs Fana?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.