Football · Norway Division 3 Group 3 · 03/08, 19:00

Prediction: Brann 2 vs Stord

Team pages: Brann 2 · Stord

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

Brann 22.64

Stord1.43

1X2

63% 18% 19%

Brann 2 Draw Stord

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Brann 2 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWDLWW

Stord 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLDWDWL

Head-to-head

Brann 2 4–1–1 Stord (6 last)

Stord0-0Brann 2
Stord0-4Brann 2
Brann 25-1Stord
Brann 24-1Stord
Brann 24-3Stord
Stord5-2Brann 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brann 2 1544 · Stord 1459

	Brann 2	Draw	Stord
Our model	63%	19%	18%
Market	63%	18%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brann 2 (rating 1544 vs 1459).
H2H favours Brann 2: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brann 2	Stord
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.6	1.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.8	0.3 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.42

X5.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 41.80

Under 42.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:36 +47’	1.42	5.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brann 2 4–1–1 Stord

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Stord	0-0 HT 0-0	Brann 2
23/10/22 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Stord	0-4	Brann 2
24/04/22 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Brann 2	5-1 HT 2-0	Stord
30/10/21 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Brann 2	4-1	Stord
05/10/19 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Brann 2	4-3 HT 2-0	Stord
16/06/19 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Stord	5-2	Brann 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Os	14	11	0	3	52	26	33
2	Askøy	14	9	4	1	25	14	31
3	Vard Haugesund	14	7	4	3	32	25	25
4	Brann 2	13	7	3	3	32	21	24
5	Djerv 1919	13	5	5	3	28	19	20
6	Sogndal 2	12	6	1	5	34	24	19
7	Fana	14	6	1	7	34	32	19
8	Førde	13	6	1	6	20	25	19
9	Austevoll	14	4	5	5	29	36	17
10	Stord	13	3	5	5	23	31	14
11	Åsane Fotball 2	13	3	4	6	21	28	13
12	Gneist	14	4	1	9	28	42	13
13	Varegg	13	2	3	8	16	28	9
14	Fyllingsdalen	14	1	3	10	15	38	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brann 2	Stord
Fana	3-2 W	0-2 L
Os	2-5 L	4-6 L
Askøy	7-1 W	0-4 L
Fyllingsdalen	2-2 D	2-2 D
Sogndal 2	2-0 W	2-0 W
Vard Haugesund	0-3 L	1-4 L
Åsane Fotball 2	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Brann 2 (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brann 2

DWLWDWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	Gneist Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-0	3-0	8	5	W
27/06	Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3	3-0	3-2	4	5	W
20/06	Os Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-4	2-5	–	–	L
14/06	Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
01/06	Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3	4-1	7-1	3	0	W
25/05	Fyllingsdalen Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
19/05	Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
11/05	Vard Haugesund Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
03/05	Åsane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/04	Stord Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Stord

DLLLLDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
27/06	Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/06	Varegg Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/06	Asane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-1	2-1	0	3	W
30/05	Fyllingsdalen Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/05	Vard Haugesund Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-2	1-4	2	2	L
14/05	Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
09/05	Os Norway Division 3 Group 3	2-4	4-6	–	–	L
01/05	Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
26/04	Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brann 2 vs Stord?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brann 2 win (63%). Probabilities: Brann 2 63%, draw 18%, Stord 19%.

How many goals are expected in Brann 2 vs Stord?

The model expects 4.07 goals (Brann 2 2.64 · Stord 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Brann 2 vs Stord?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.