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Football · Norway Division 3 Group 3 · 01/08, 14:00

Prediction: Gneist vs Vard Haugesund

Team pages: Gneist · Vard Haugesund

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.49Total
Gneist2.07
Vard Haugesund2.41
1X2
34% 20% 46%
Gneist Draw Vard Haugesund
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
2-2
Recent form · 10 last
Gneist 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WLLDLLWLLL
Vard Haugesund 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWWLDD
Head-to-head
Gneist 0–1 Vard Haugesund (1 last)
  • Vard Haugesund5-2Gneist
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vard Haugesund (rating 1422 vs 1528).
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GneistVard Haugesund
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 3.22.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.31 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 3.85.3 / 7.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 03 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gneist 0–0–1 Vard Haugesund

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Norway Division 3 Group 3
Vard Haugesund5-2
HT 3-0
Gneist

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Os 141103 522633
2 Askøy 14941 251431
3 Vard Haugesund 14743 322525
4 Brann 2 13733 322124
5 Djerv 1919 13553 281920
6 Sogndal 2 12615 342419
7 Fana 14617 343219
8 Førde 13616 202519
9 Austevoll 14455 293617
10 Stord 13355 233114
11 Åsane Fotball 2 13346 212813
12 Gneist 14419 284213
13 Varegg 13238 16289
14 Fyllingsdalen 141310 15386

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGneistVard Haugesund
Brann 2 0-3 L 3-0 W
Djerv 1919 2-6 L 1-1 D
Varegg 1-0 W 1-1 D
Sogndal 2 4-6 L 4-4 D
Åsane Fotball 2 3-3 D 3-1 W
Austevoll 4-5 L 0-3 L
Førde 1-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 5 L 3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Vard Haugesund (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gneist

WLLDLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/07 Brann 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 0-1 0-3 45 L
27/06 Djerv 1919
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 0-3 2-6 –– L
20/06 Askøy
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 0-1 0-2 –– L
13/06 Varegg
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 0-0 1-0 23 W
07/06 Frøya
Norway Cup
 0-2 2-4 33 L
01/06 Sogndal 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 3-2 4-6 –– L
26/05 Åsane Fotball 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 2-1 3-3 40 D
14/05 Austevoll
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 2-2 4-5 63 L
09/05 Førde
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 1-1 1-2 –– L
02/05 Fyllingsdalen
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 0-0 3-1 –– W

Vard Haugesund

WLWDWWWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/07 Sogndal 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 1-1 4-4 102 D
28/06 Varegg
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 0-0 1-1 101 D
20/06 Austevoll
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 0-0 0-3 53 L
13/06 Førde
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 0-0 1-0 –– W
01/06 Åsane Fotball 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 1-0 3-1 70 W
22/05 Stord
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 2-1 4-1 92 W
15/05 Djerv 1919
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 1-1 1-1 67 D
11/05 Brann 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 2-0 3-0 93 W
02/05 Os
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 0-2 0-6 –– L
25/04 Gneist
Norway Division 3 Group 3
 3-0 5-2 76 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gneist vs Vard Haugesund?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vard Haugesund win (46%). Probabilities: Gneist 34%, draw 20%, Vard Haugesund 46%.

How many goals are expected in Gneist vs Vard Haugesund?

The model expects 4.49 goals (Gneist 2.07 · Vard Haugesund 2.41), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gneist vs Vard Haugesund?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.