Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 12/09, 14:00

Prediction: Sotra vs Sandviken

Team pages: Sotra · Sandviken

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

Sotra2.6

Sandviken1

1X2

71% 17% 12%

Sotra Draw Sandviken

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Sotra 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWWWWW

Sandviken 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLDDW

Head-to-head

Sotra 3–1–2 Sandviken (6 last)

Sandviken1-3Sotra
Sotra1-0Sandviken
Sandviken2-1Sotra
Sotra2-2Sandviken
Sotra4-2Sandviken
Sotra0-1Sandviken

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sotra 1558 · Sandviken 1476

	Sotra	Draw	Sandviken
Our model	71%	18%	12%
Market	71%	17%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sotra (rating 1558 vs 1476).
H2H favours Sotra: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sotra	Sandviken
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	2.2 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	1.1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.4	2.6 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.25

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.93

2 (+1.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Pinn 1.31 ★
X	5.25 → 5.25	Pinn 5.38
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:50 +15’	1.25	5.25	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +143’	1.31	5.38	7.03

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sotra 3–1–2 Sandviken

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Sandviken	1-3 HT 1-1	Sotra
07/03/26 Europe Friendlies	Sotra	1-0 HT 0-0	Sandviken
26/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Sandviken	2-1 HT 1-1	Sotra
23/05/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Sotra	2-2 HT 1-1	Sandviken
24/02/24 Europe Friendlies	Sotra	4-2 HT 2-2	Sandviken
22/02/20 Europe Friendlies	Sotra	0-1 HT 0-0	Sandviken

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jerv	18	13	3	2	38	17	42
2	Brattvåg	18	11	3	4	37	20	36
3	Sotra	18	10	3	5	38	17	33
4	Mjondalen	18	10	2	6	30	24	32
5	Notodden	18	9	4	5	25	14	31
6	Kvik Halden FK	18	9	4	5	28	20	31
7	Træff	18	8	5	5	34	29	29
8	Bjarg	17	9	2	6	28	24	29
9	Arendal	17	6	5	6	25	26	23
10	Pors Grenland	18	5	5	8	20	25	20
11	Sandviken	18	5	4	9	29	39	19
12	Lysekloster	18	3	5	10	19	37	14
13	Vidar	18	1	4	13	16	49	7
14	Eik Tønsberg	18	1	1	16	18	44	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sotra	Sandviken
Eik Tønsberg	3-1 W	2-0 W
Notodden	0-1 L	0-1 L
Jerv	1-3 L	2-2 D
Kvik Halden FK	1-2 L	4-5 L
Brattvåg	0-1 L	4-4 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sandviken (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sotra

DLLLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/08	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-1	3-1	7	4	W
16/08	Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
02/08	Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1	3-0	3-0	12	3	W
25/07	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
28/06	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	1-3	8	7	L
20/06	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-2	8	1	L
14/06	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
31/05	Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	1-1	5	2	D

Sandviken

WLLLWLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	2-0	11	3	W
30/08	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-2	4-4	1	4	D
16/08	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	2-2	5	1	D
08/08	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
01/08	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	3-3	4-5	12	5	L
25/07	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-1	6-5	6	6	W
27/06	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-2	0-4	3	4	L
20/06	Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-1	2-3	2	7	L
14/06	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	1-2	3	0	L
31/05	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-0	6	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sotra vs Sandviken?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sotra win (71%). Probabilities: Sotra 71%, draw 17%, Sandviken 12%.

How many goals are expected in Sotra vs Sandviken?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Sotra 2.6 · Sandviken 1), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sotra vs Sandviken?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.