Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 24/10, 13:00
Prediction: Sotra vs Notodden
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
Sotra2.17
Notodden1.24
1X2
Sotra
Draw
Notodden
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Sotra
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Notodden
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sotra
1–3–2
Notodden
(6 last)
- Notodden1-0Sotra
- Notodden1-1Sotra
- Sotra1-3Notodden
- Notodden0-0Sotra
- Sotra2-1Notodden
- Sotra2-2Notodden
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sotra (rating 1553 vs 1468).
- H2H favours Notodden: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sotra | Notodden | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/0/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 5 | 2.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sotra 1–3–2 Notodden
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Notodden | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sotra |
| 13/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Notodden | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sotra |
| 27/04/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Sotra | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Notodden |
| 21/09/24 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Notodden | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sotra |
| 06/04/24 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Sotra | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Notodden |
| 08/10/22 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Sotra | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Notodden |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerv | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 53 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Bjarg | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 56 | 31 | 50 |
| 3 | Mjondalen | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 47 | 29 | 50 |
| 4 | Brattvåg | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 51 | 33 | 48 |
| 5 | Sotra | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 53 | 29 | 42 |
| 6 | Notodden | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 29 | 35 |
| 7 | Kvik Halden FK | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 34 |
| 8 | Træff | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 47 | 34 |
| 9 | Arendal | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 30 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 29 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 49 | 25 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 52 | 19 |
| 13 | Vidar | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 63 | 13 |
| 14 | Eik Tønsberg | 24 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 25 | 56 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sotra | Notodden |
|---|---|---|
| Jerv | 3-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Kvik Halden FK | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Brattvåg | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Pors Grenland | 3-2 W | 3-4 L |
| Sandviken | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Eik Tønsberg | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Træff | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Bjarg | 3-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Sotra (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sotra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 19/09 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/08 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Notodden
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sotra vs Notodden?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sotra win (58%). Probabilities: Sotra 58%, draw 22%, Notodden 20%.
How many goals are expected in Sotra vs Notodden?
The model expects 3.41 goals (Sotra 2.17 · Notodden 1.24), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sotra vs Notodden?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.