Football · Faroe Islands Premier League · 23/08, 16:00

Prediction: HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur

Team pages: HB Torshavn · 07 Vestur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

HB Torshavn2.33

07 Vestur1

1X2

67% 19% 14%

HB Torshavn Draw 07 Vestur

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

HB Torshavn 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWWWWW

07 Vestur 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWLLWL

Head-to-head

HB Torshavn 6–0 07 Vestur (6 last)

07 Vestur1-4HB Torshavn
HB Torshavn2-007 Vestur
HB Torshavn3-007 Vestur
07 Vestur1-2HB Torshavn
07 Vestur1-2HB Torshavn
HB Torshavn1-007 Vestur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HB Torshavn 1541 · 07 Vestur 1439

	HB Torshavn	Draw	07 Vestur
Our model	66%	20%	14%
Market	67%	18%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HB Torshavn (rating 1541 vs 1439).
H2H favours HB Torshavn: 6-0-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HB Torshavn	07 Vestur
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1	1.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.2	2.8 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.36
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	6.00 → 6.00	Pinn 6.68 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:16 +5’	1.33	5.00	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:01 +19’	1.36	4.85	6.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HB Torshavn 6–0–0 07 Vestur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Faroe Islands Premier League	07 Vestur	1-4 HT 0-3	HB Torshavn
15/03/26 Faroe Islands Premier League	HB Torshavn	2-0 HT 2-0	07 Vestur
17/08/25 Faroe Islands Premier League	HB Torshavn	3-0 HT 0-0	07 Vestur
22/06/25 Faroe Islands Premier League	07 Vestur	1-2 HT 0-0	HB Torshavn
16/03/25 Faroe Islands Premier League	07 Vestur	1-2 HT 1-0	HB Torshavn
05/10/24 Faroe Islands Premier League	HB Torshavn	1-0 HT 0-0	07 Vestur

Standings · Faroe Islands Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NSI Runavik	19	12	4	3	39	21	40
2	KI Klaksvik	19	10	7	2	37	17	37
3	B36 Torshavn	20	9	7	4	30	23	34
4	HB Torshavn	19	10	3	6	35	24	33
5	Vikingur Gota	20	8	9	3	29	20	33
6	AB Argir	19	7	2	10	28	32	23
7	EB/Streymur	19	4	5	10	23	32	17
8	Skala IF	19	4	5	10	19	32	17
9	07 Vestur	19	5	1	13	17	36	16
10	B68 Toftir	19	4	3	12	20	40	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HB Torshavn	07 Vestur
B68 Toftir	2-0 W	1-2 L
KI Klaksvik	2-0 W	1-0 W
NSI Runavik	3-1 W	1-6 L
Skala IF	4-1 W	1-2 L
B36 Torshavn	3-0 W	1-2 L
AB Argir	1-3 L	2-0 W
Vikingur Gota	0-0 D	2-3 L
EB/Streymur	3-4 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: HB Torshavn (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HB Torshavn

LWDLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	B68 Toftir Faroe Islands Premier League	2-0	2-0	9	1	W
10/08	KI Klaksvik Faroe Islands Premier League	1-0	2-0	1	0	W
03/08	NSI Runavik Faroe Islands Premier League	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
05/07	07 Vestur Faroe Islands Premier League	3-0	4-1	2	3	W
29/06	Skala IF Faroe Islands Premier League	2-0	4-1	5	1	W
21/06	B36 Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League	2-0	3-0	9	2	W
14/06	AB Argir Faroe Islands Premier League	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
30/05	Vikingur Gota Faroe Islands Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
26/05	B68 Toftir Faroe Islands Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
18/05	EB/Streymur Faroe Islands Premier League	0-3	3-4	10	7	L

07 Vestur

LLLLWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	B36 Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League	1-1	1-2	8	4	L
07/08	EB/Streymur Faroe Islands Premier League	2-2	3-2	7	8	W
02/08	B68 Toftir Faroe Islands Premier League	1-0	1-2	7	4	L
05/07	HB Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League	0-3	1-4	7	3	L
28/06	KI Klaksvik Faroe Islands Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
21/06	AB Argir Faroe Islands Premier League	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
13/06	Vikingur Gota Faroe Islands Premier League	1-0	2-3	4	1	L
29/05	Skala IF Faroe Islands Premier League	0-0	1-2	1	2	L
25/05	B36 Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
17/05	NSI Runavik Faroe Islands Premier League	1-3	1-6	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HB Torshavn win (67%). Probabilities: HB Torshavn 67%, draw 19%, 07 Vestur 14%.

How many goals are expected in HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur?

The model expects 3.33 goals (HB Torshavn 2.33 · 07 Vestur 1), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.