Football · Faroe Islands Premier League · 19/09, 16:30

Prediction: HB Torshavn vs AB Argir

Team pages: HB Torshavn · AB Argir

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

HB Torshavn2.29

AB Argir1.08

1X2

64% 20% 16%

HB Torshavn Draw AB Argir

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

HB Torshavn 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWDWD

AB Argir 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLLLD

Head-to-head

HB Torshavn 3–1–2 AB Argir (6 last)

AB Argir3-1HB Torshavn
HB Torshavn1-1AB Argir
AB Argir2-4HB Torshavn
HB Torshavn5-0AB Argir
HB Torshavn4-0AB Argir
AB Argir2-1HB Torshavn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HB Torshavn 1559 · AB Argir 1462

	HB Torshavn	Draw	AB Argir
Our model	63%	21%	16%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HB Torshavn (rating 1559 vs 1462).
H2H favours HB Torshavn: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HB Torshavn	AB Argir
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.9	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.5	1.4 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
08:50 +2’	1.40	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HB Torshavn 3–1–2 AB Argir

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Faroe Islands Premier League	AB Argir	3-1 HT 1-0	HB Torshavn
03/05/26 Faroe Islands Premier League	HB Torshavn	1-1 HT 1-0	AB Argir
27/08/23 Faroe Islands Premier League	AB Argir	2-4 HT 1-1	HB Torshavn
06/08/23 Faroe Islands Premier League	HB Torshavn	5-0 HT 2-0	AB Argir
08/04/23 Faroe Islands Premier League	HB Torshavn	4-0 HT 3-0	AB Argir
04/09/22 Faroe Islands Premier League	AB Argir	2-1 HT 1-1	HB Torshavn

Standings · Faroe Islands Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NSI Runavik	22	13	6	3	45	25	45
2	KI Klaksvik	22	12	8	2	43	19	44
3	HB Torshavn	22	11	5	6	40	27	38
4	B36 Torshavn	22	9	8	5	32	26	35
5	Vikingur Gota	22	8	10	4	31	24	34
6	AB Argir	22	7	3	12	30	38	24
7	EB/Streymur	22	6	5	11	27	36	23
8	Skala IF	22	5	7	10	23	35	22
9	07 Vestur	22	5	3	14	18	38	18
10	B68 Toftir	22	4	5	13	22	43	17

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HB Torshavn	AB Argir
Skala IF	2-2 D	3-2 W
07 Vestur	0-0 D	0-2 L
B68 Toftir	2-0 W	1-1 D
KI Klaksvik	2-0 W	3-4 L
NSI Runavik	3-1 W	1-3 L
B36 Torshavn	3-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: HB Torshavn (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HB Torshavn

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Skala IF Faroe Islands Premier League	2-1	2-2	6	9	D
28/08	Vikingur Gota Faroe Islands Premier League	0-0	3-1	11	4	W
23/08	07 Vestur Faroe Islands Premier League	0-0	0-0	12	3	D
16/08	B68 Toftir Faroe Islands Premier League	2-0	2-0	9	1	W
10/08	KI Klaksvik Faroe Islands Premier League	1-0	2-0	1	0	W
03/08	NSI Runavik Faroe Islands Premier League	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
05/07	07 Vestur Faroe Islands Premier League	3-0	4-1	2	3	W
29/06	Skala IF Faroe Islands Premier League	2-0	4-1	5	1	W
21/06	B36 Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League	2-0	3-0	9	2	W
14/06	AB Argir Faroe Islands Premier League	0-1	1-3	6	3	L

AB Argir

WLWLLWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	B68 Toftir Faroe Islands Premier League	0-0	1-1	0	3	D
30/08	NSI Runavik Faroe Islands Premier League	1-0	1-3	1	5	L
23/08	EB/Streymur Faroe Islands Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
17/08	KI Klaksvik Faroe Islands Premier League	1-2	3-4	9	4	L
02/08	Skala IF Faroe Islands Premier League	2-0	3-2	4	7	W
28/07	B36 Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
04/07	EB/Streymur Faroe Islands Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
29/06	B68 Toftir Faroe Islands Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
21/06	07 Vestur Faroe Islands Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
14/06	HB Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League	1-0	3-1	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HB Torshavn vs AB Argir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HB Torshavn win (64%). Probabilities: HB Torshavn 64%, draw 20%, AB Argir 16%.

How many goals are expected in HB Torshavn vs AB Argir?

The model expects 3.37 goals (HB Torshavn 2.29 · AB Argir 1.08), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in HB Torshavn vs AB Argir?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.