Football · Faroe Islands Premier League · 03/08, 19:30

Prediction: HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik

Team pages: HB Torshavn · NSI Runavik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

HB Torshavn1.57

NSI Runavik1.68

1X2

35% 25% 40%

HB Torshavn Draw NSI Runavik

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

HB Torshavn 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLWWLL

NSI Runavik 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDDDWLW

Head-to-head

HB Torshavn 3–3 NSI Runavik (6 last)

NSI Runavik2-1HB Torshavn
HB Torshavn3-0NSI Runavik
NSI Runavik1-4HB Torshavn
HB Torshavn1-7NSI Runavik
NSI Runavik3-2HB Torshavn
NSI Runavik2-3HB Torshavn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HB Torshavn 1488 · NSI Runavik 1572

	HB Torshavn	Draw	NSI Runavik
Our model	35%	25%	40%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NSI Runavik (rating 1488 vs 1572).
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HB Torshavn	NSI Runavik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.6	2.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	4.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.60

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.55▼	Bet365 2.55
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.20 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.52 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
04:11 +5’	2.60	3.60	2.20
21:28 +2’	2.55▼	3.60	2.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:46 +1’	2.54	3.64	2.37
13:43	2.56▲	3.64	2.35▼
21:30	2.42▼	3.64	2.48▲
22:39 +1’	2.46▲	3.39▼	2.52▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HB Torshavn 3–0–3 NSI Runavik

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Faroe Islands Premier League	NSI Runavik	2-1 HT 1-1	HB Torshavn
19/10/25 Faroe Islands Premier League	HB Torshavn	3-0 HT 0-0	NSI Runavik
25/05/25 Faroe Islands Premier League	NSI Runavik	1-4 HT 0-1	HB Torshavn
03/05/25 Faroe Islands Premier League	HB Torshavn	1-7 HT 0-2	NSI Runavik
27/08/24 Faroe Islands Premier League	NSI Runavik	3-2 HT 1-1	HB Torshavn
02/06/24 Faroe Islands Premier League	NSI Runavik	2-3 HT 0-1	HB Torshavn

Standings · Faroe Islands Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NSI Runavik	16	10	4	2	30	16	34
2	KI Klaksvik	16	8	7	1	31	12	31
3	B36 Torshavn	17	8	6	3	28	20	30
4	Vikingur Gota	16	6	8	2	24	16	26
5	HB Torshavn	16	7	3	6	28	23	24
6	AB Argir	17	6	2	9	22	26	20
7	EB/Streymur	16	4	5	7	18	23	17
8	Skala IF	16	3	5	8	15	24	14
9	07 Vestur	16	4	1	11	12	30	13
10	B68 Toftir	16	3	3	10	17	35	12

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HB Torshavn	NSI Runavik
Vikingur Gota	0-4 L	3-3 D
B36 Torshavn	3-0 W	3-0 W
AB Argir	1-3 L	2-3 L
B68 Toftir	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NSI Runavik (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

HB Torshavn

LWDLWLWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	Motherwell UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-2	0-3	6	0	L
23/07	Motherwell UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
05/07	07 Vestur Faroe Islands Premier League	3-0	4-1	2	3	W
29/06	Skala IF Faroe Islands Premier League	2-0	4-1	5	1	W
25/06	Vikingur Gota Faroe Islands Cup	0-2	0-4	1	5	L
21/06	B36 Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League	2-0	3-0	9	2	W
14/06	AB Argir Faroe Islands Premier League	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
30/05	Vikingur Gota Faroe Islands Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
26/05	B68 Toftir Faroe Islands Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
18/05	EB/Streymur Faroe Islands Premier League	0-3	3-4	10	7	L

NSI Runavik

LWWWDDDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	FC Koper UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	2-0	8	11	W
23/07	FC Koper UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
16/07	Hamrun Spartans UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	2-1	7	5	W
09/07	Hamrun Spartans UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
03/07	KI Klaksvik Faroe Islands Premier League	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
29/06	Vikingur Gota Faroe Islands Premier League	1-3	3-3	2	3	D
24/06	KI Klaksvik Faroe Islands Cup	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
20/06	B68 Toftir Faroe Islands Premier League	1-0	1-0	12	3	W
13/06	B36 Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League	2-0	3-0	6	6	W
30/05	AB Argir Faroe Islands Premier League	1-1	2-3	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NSI Runavik win (40%). Probabilities: HB Torshavn 35%, draw 25%, NSI Runavik 40%.

How many goals are expected in HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik?

The model expects 3.24 goals (HB Torshavn 1.57 · NSI Runavik 1.68), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.