Football · Faroe Islands Premier League · 31/10, 15:00
Prediction: B68 Toftir vs NSI Runavik
Team pages: B68 Toftir · NSI Runavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
B68 Toftir0.8
NSI Runavik2.11
1X2
B68 Toftir
Draw
NSI Runavik
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
B68 Toftir
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
NSI Runavik
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
B68 Toftir
1–5
NSI Runavik
(6 last)
- NSI Runavik1-0B68 Toftir
- B68 Toftir1-2NSI Runavik
- B68 Toftir1-3NSI Runavik
- B68 Toftir1-3NSI Runavik
- NSI Runavik11-0B68 Toftir
- NSI Runavik1-4B68 Toftir
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · B68 Toftir 1446 · NSI Runavik 1549
| B68 Toftir | Draw | NSI Runavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 21% | 67% |
| Market | 14% | 18% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NSI Runavik (rating 1446 vs 1549).
- H2H favours NSI Runavik: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| B68 Toftir | NSI Runavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.8 | 2.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · B68 Toftir 1–0–5 NSI Runavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Faroe Islands Premier League | NSI Runavik | 1-0 HT 1-0 | B68 Toftir |
| 04/04/26 Faroe Islands Premier League | B68 Toftir | 1-2 HT 0-1 | NSI Runavik |
| 19/09/25 Faroe Islands Premier League | B68 Toftir | 1-3 HT 1-2 | NSI Runavik |
| 03/08/25 Faroe Islands Premier League | B68 Toftir | 1-3 HT 0-3 | NSI Runavik |
| 30/03/25 Faroe Islands Premier League | NSI Runavik | 11-0 HT 4-0 | B68 Toftir |
| 26/10/24 Faroe Islands Premier League | NSI Runavik | 1-4 HT 0-2 | B68 Toftir |
Standings · Faroe Islands Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSI Runavik | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 51 | 28 | 55 |
| 2 | KI Klaksvik | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 51 | 22 | 51 |
| 3 | HB Torshavn | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 45 |
| 4 | Vikingur Gota | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 38 | 28 | 42 |
| 5 | B36 Torshavn | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 38 | 35 | 39 |
| 6 | EB/Streymur | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 30 | 42 | 27 |
| 7 | Skala IF | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 43 | 25 |
| 8 | AB Argir | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 47 | 25 |
| 9 | 07 Vestur | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 43 | 25 |
| 10 | B68 Toftir | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 50 | 20 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | B68 Toftir | NSI Runavik |
|---|---|---|
| 07 Vestur | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| KI Klaksvik | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Vikingur Gota | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| AB Argir | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| B36 Torshavn | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| HB Torshavn | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Skala IF | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: NSI Runavik (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
B68 Toftir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | 07 Vestur Faroe Islands Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 18/10 | KI Klaksvik Faroe Islands Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Vikingur Gota Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | EB/Streymur Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | AB Argir Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | B36 Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | HB Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Vikingur Gota Faroe Islands Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | 07 Vestur Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Skala IF Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
NSI Runavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | HB Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 18/10 | 07 Vestur Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Skala IF Faroe Islands Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | B36 Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Vikingur Gota Faroe Islands Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | AB Argir Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | KI Klaksvik Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 03/08 | HB Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | KI Klaksvik Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/06 | Vikingur Gota Faroe Islands Premier League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in B68 Toftir vs NSI Runavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an NSI Runavik win (68%). Probabilities: B68 Toftir 13%, draw 19%, NSI Runavik 68%.
How many goals are expected in B68 Toftir vs NSI Runavik?
The model expects 2.91 goals (B68 Toftir 0.8 · NSI Runavik 2.11), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in B68 Toftir vs NSI Runavik?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.