Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 28/08, 19:00
Prediction: Gjøvik-Lyn vs Brumunddal
Team pages: Gjøvik-Lyn · Brumunddal
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.43Total
Gjøvik-Lyn3.22
Brumunddal1.22
1X2
Gjøvik-Lyn
Draw
Brumunddal
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Gjøvik-Lyn
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Brumunddal
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gjøvik-Lyn
3–3
Brumunddal
(6 last)
- Brumunddal0-3Gjøvik-Lyn
- Brumunddal1-4Gjøvik-Lyn
- Gjøvik-Lyn0-1Brumunddal
- Brumunddal2-3Gjøvik-Lyn
- Gjøvik-Lyn2-5Brumunddal
- Brumunddal1-0Gjøvik-Lyn
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gjøvik-Lyn 1494 · Brumunddal 1379
| Gjøvik-Lyn | Draw | Brumunddal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 92% | 5% | 3% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.43 goals · Bet365 line 4.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gjøvik-Lyn (rating 1494 vs 1379).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gjøvik-Lyn | Brumunddal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1 / 5.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 2.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 1.2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gjøvik-Lyn 3–0–3 Brumunddal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Brumunddal | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Gjøvik-Lyn |
| 09/10/21 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Brumunddal | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Gjøvik-Lyn |
| 07/09/19 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Gjøvik-Lyn | 0-1 | Brumunddal |
| 15/06/19 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Brumunddal | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Gjøvik-Lyn |
| 27/10/18 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Gjøvik-Lyn | 2-5 HT 0-3 | Brumunddal |
| 29/07/18 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Brumunddal | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gjøvik-Lyn |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillehammer | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 60 | 21 | 41 |
| 2 | Elverum | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 23 | 34 |
| 3 | Rade IL | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 60 | 29 | 32 |
| 4 | Gjøvik-Lyn | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | Lyn 1896 II | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 35 | 26 |
| 6 | Ørn Horten | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 25 |
| 7 | Oppsal | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 24 |
| 8 | Rælingen | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 40 | 24 |
| 9 | Drøbak/Frogn | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 21 | 22 |
| 10 | Sandefjord 2 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 2 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 39 | 15 |
| 12 | Fram | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 15 |
| 13 | Brumunddal | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 72 | 8 |
| 14 | Bjørkelangen | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 56 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gjøvik-Lyn | Brumunddal |
|---|---|---|
| Lillehammer | 0-2 L | 0-8 L |
| Sandefjord 2 | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Drøbak/Frogn | 0-0 D | 1-7 L |
| Lyn 1896 II | 0-0 D | 1-9 L |
| Elverum | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Gjøvik-Lyn (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gjøvik-Lyn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/06 | Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
Brumunddal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-4 | 0-11 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/08 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-3 | 1-9 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-2 | 1-7 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/06 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-4 | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gjøvik-Lyn vs Brumunddal?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gjøvik-Lyn win (85%). Probabilities: Gjøvik-Lyn 85%, draw 9%, Brumunddal 6%.
How many goals are expected in Gjøvik-Lyn vs Brumunddal?
The model expects 4.43 goals (Gjøvik-Lyn 3.22 · Brumunddal 1.22), with a 55% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gjøvik-Lyn vs Brumunddal?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.