Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: Melhus vs Volda

Team pages: Melhus · Volda

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

Melhus1.89

Volda1.86

1X2

39% 23% 38%

Melhus Draw Volda

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Melhus 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDWWLW

Volda 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWDWW

Head-to-head

Melhus 3–1 Volda (4 last)

Volda2-4Melhus
Volda2-1Melhus
Melhus3-1Volda
Volda1-2Melhus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Melhus 1521 · Volda 1580

	Melhus	Draw	Volda
Our model	39%	23%	38%
Market	39%	23%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Volda (rating 1521 vs 1580).
H2H favours Melhus: 3-0-1.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Melhus	Volda
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.3	3.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	1.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.9	2 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.00

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:42 +7’	2.30	4.00	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Melhus 3–0–1 Volda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Volda	2-4 HT 0-2	Melhus
11/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Volda	2-1 HT 2-0	Melhus
03/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Melhus	3-1 HT 3-0	Volda
10/10/21 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Volda	1-2 HT 0-1	Melhus

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	18	12	3	3	48	19	39
2	Strindheim	18	11	3	4	44	28	36
3	Melhus	18	10	5	3	47	23	35
4	Herd	18	8	3	7	42	30	27
5	Rosenborg 2	18	7	4	7	36	30	25
6	Spjelkavik	18	7	4	7	36	36	25
7	Byåsen	18	7	4	7	34	37	25
8	Molde 2	17	6	4	7	47	51	22
9	Kvik Trondheim	17	6	3	8	31	42	21
10	Ranheim 2	17	5	5	7	43	58	20
11	NTNUI	18	4	6	8	23	38	18
12	Orkla	18	5	3	10	35	51	18
13	Nardo	17	5	2	10	33	40	17
14	Aalesunds FK 2	16	5	1	10	29	45	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Melhus	Volda
Herd	4-1 W	1-0 W
Nardo	3-1 W	2-0 W
Orkla	8-3 W	5-2 W
Kvik Trondheim	1-1 D	6-0 W
Rosenborg 2	1-1 D	2-1 W
Byåsen	2-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Volda (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Melhus

WLDLWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	4-1	4	1	W
30/08	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	3-1	6	5	W
08/08	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	5-3	8-3	3	3	W
03/08	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
25/07	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
25/06	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	11	1	L
19/06	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
14/06	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	2-3	5	8	L
30/05	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	3-0	–	–	W

Volda

WWWWWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
30/08	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/08	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-0	0	2	D
08/08	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
31/07	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
27/07	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	6-0	7-0	11	1	W
27/06	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	10	2	W
20/06	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-2	3-2	5	4	W
13/06	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	5-2	–	–	W
30/05	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Melhus vs Volda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Melhus win (39%). Probabilities: Melhus 39%, draw 23%, Volda 38%.

How many goals are expected in Melhus vs Volda?

The model expects 3.75 goals (Melhus 1.89 · Volda 1.86), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Melhus vs Volda?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.