Football · Sweden Elitettan · 15/08, 13:00

Prediction: KIF Orebro (W) vs Orebro SK (W)

Team pages: KIF Orebro (W) · Orebro SK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

KIF Orebro (W)2.29

Orebro SK (W)1.22

1X2

61% 20% 19%

KIF Orebro (W) Draw Orebro SK (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

KIF Orebro (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWWL

Orebro SK (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLDLWWWD

Head-to-head

KIF Orebro (W) 3–0 Orebro SK (W) (3 last)

Orebro SK (W)0-3KIF Orebro (W)
Orebro SK (W)2-3KIF Orebro (W)
KIF Orebro (W)3-1Orebro SK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KIF Orebro (W) 1581 · Orebro SK (W) 1516

	KIF Orebro (W)	Draw	Orebro SK (W)
Our model	60%	21%	19%
Market	61%	20%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KIF Orebro (W) (rating 1581 vs 1516).
H2H favours KIF Orebro (W): 3-0-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KIF Orebro (W)	Orebro SK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.4	2.6 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.50

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:49 +42’	1.48	4.50	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KIF Orebro (W) 3–0–0 Orebro SK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Sweden Elitettan	Orebro SK (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	KIF Orebro (W)
11/10/25 Sweden Elitettan	Orebro SK (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	KIF Orebro (W)
24/05/25 Sweden Elitettan	KIF Orebro (W)	3-1 HT 3-0	Orebro SK (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elfsborg (W)	13	9	4	0	24	3	31
2	Linköpings FC (W)	13	9	3	1	27	13	30
3	IFK Goteborg (W)	13	8	4	1	31	14	28
4	KIF Orebro (W)	13	9	1	3	28	18	28
5	Trelleborgs FF (W)	13	6	3	4	22	20	21
6	Enskede IK (W)	13	5	3	5	22	19	18
7	Umea IK (W)	13	5	3	5	21	19	18
8	Orebro SK (W)	13	5	3	5	18	20	18
9	Jitex BK (W)	13	5	3	5	15	17	18
10	Husqvarna FF (W)	13	3	4	6	19	25	13
11	Alingsås IF (W)	13	2	5	6	11	20	11
12	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	13	2	4	7	16	25	10
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	13	1	3	9	13	35	6
14	BK Hacken (W) II	13	0	1	12	11	30	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KIF Orebro (W)	Orebro SK (W)
IFK Goteborg (W)	0-3 L	1-2 L
Gamla Upsala SK (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
BK Hacken (W) II	3-0 W	2-1 W
Alingsås IF (W)	2-0 W	2-2 D
Linköpings FC (W)	2-3 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KIF Orebro (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

KIF Orebro (W)

LWWWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
05/08	IF Karlstad Fotbol (W) Sweden Cup Women	2-1	3-2	5	0	W
01/08	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
25/07	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-1	10	1	W
18/06	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
14/06	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
30/05	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/05	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
16/05	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-0	4-3	8	2	W
08/05	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-3	2-3	4	4	L

Orebro SK (W)

DWLLDLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
04/08	Taby FK (W) Sweden Cup Women	3-0	7-1	7	0	W
31/07	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-1	4-2	7	1	W
21/06	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
14/06	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
29/05	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-1	8	0	D
22/05	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	0-3	5	2	L
16/05	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-2	4	0	L
09/05	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
01/05	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-1	2	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KIF Orebro (W) vs Orebro SK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KIF Orebro (W) win (61%). Probabilities: KIF Orebro (W) 61%, draw 20%, Orebro SK (W) 19%.

How many goals are expected in KIF Orebro (W) vs Orebro SK (W)?

The model expects 3.52 goals (KIF Orebro (W) 2.29 · Orebro SK (W) 1.22), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KIF Orebro (W) vs Orebro SK (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.