Football · Sweden Elitettan · 25/07, 14:00
Prediction: Jitex BK (W) vs Orebro SK (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Jitex BK (W)1.25
Orebro SK (W)1.33
1X2
Jitex BK (W)
Draw
Orebro SK (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Jitex BK (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Orebro SK (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jitex BK (W)
2–1–1
Orebro SK (W)
(4 last)
- Jitex BK (W)1-4Orebro SK (W)
- Orebro SK (W)1-2Jitex BK (W)
- Orebro SK (W)1-1Jitex BK (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jitex BK (W) 1446 · Orebro SK (W) 1506
| Jitex BK (W) | Draw | Orebro SK (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orebro SK (W) (rating 1446 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Jitex BK (W): 2-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jitex BK (W) | Orebro SK (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 0.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jitex BK (W) 2–1–1 Orebro SK (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/25 Sweden Elitettan | Jitex BK (W) | 1-4 HT 0-0 | Orebro SK (W) |
| 18/05/25 Sweden Elitettan | Orebro SK (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Jitex BK (W) |
| 02/11/24 Sweden Elitettan | Orebro SK (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Jitex BK (W) |
| 11/05/24 Sweden Elitettan | Jitex BK (W) | 4-2 HT 2-2 | Orebro SK (W) |
Standings · Sweden Elitettan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linköpings FC (W) | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Elfsborg (W) | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 24 |
| 3 | IFK Goteborg (W) | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | KIF Orebro (W) | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Trelleborgs FF (W) | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 18 |
| 6 | Enskede IK (W) | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 16 |
| 7 | Umea IK (W) | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| 8 | Orebro SK (W) | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Husqvarna FF (W) | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 10 | Jitex BK (W) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Gamla Upsala SK (W) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 9 |
| 12 | Alingsås IF (W) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 8 |
| 13 | Sandvikens IF (W) | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 2 |
| 14 | BK Hacken (W) II | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jitex BK (W) | Orebro SK (W) |
|---|---|---|
| KIF Orebro (W) | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Enskede IK (W) | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Sandvikens IF (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| IFK Goteborg (W) | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Trelleborgs FF (W) | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Elfsborg (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Husqvarna FF (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Umea IK (W) | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Orebro SK (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jitex BK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan |
0-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/04 | Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
Orebro SK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 22/05 | KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 03/04 | Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jitex BK (W) vs Orebro SK (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Orebro SK (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Jitex BK (W) 34%, draw 28%, Orebro SK (W) 38%.
How many goals are expected in Jitex BK (W) vs Orebro SK (W)?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Jitex BK (W) 1.25 · Orebro SK (W) 1.33), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Jitex BK (W) vs Orebro SK (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.