Football · USA USL League One · 02/08, 01:00
Prediction: Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Spokane Velocity FC
Team pages: Chattanooga Red Wolves · Spokane Velocity FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Chattanooga Red Wolves1.53
Spokane Velocity FC1.24
1X2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Draw
Spokane Velocity FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chattanooga Red Wolves
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Spokane Velocity FC
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–2
Spokane Velocity FC
(4 last)
- Spokane Velocity FC1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves
- Chattanooga Red Wolves3-0Spokane Velocity FC
- Chattanooga Red Wolves0-1Spokane Velocity FC
- Spokane Velocity FC2-1Chattanooga Red Wolves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1552 · Spokane Velocity FC 1524
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Draw | Spokane Velocity FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Spokane Velocity FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.6 | 2.1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–0–2 Spokane Velocity FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/25 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
| 20/07/25 USA USL League One | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Spokane Velocity FC |
| 08/08/24 USA USL League One | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Spokane Velocity FC |
| 07/07/24 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 33 |
| 3 | One Knoxville SC | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 33 |
| 4 | Forward Madison FC | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 32 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity FC | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 32 |
| 6 | AC Boise | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 30 |
| 7 | Antelope Valley Alta | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 29 |
| 8 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 28 |
| 9 | Fort Wayne FC | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 27 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 22 |
| 11 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 28 | 20 |
| 12 | Westchester SC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 19 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 18 |
| 14 | Greenville Triumph SC | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Naples | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 17 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 12 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 11 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chattanooga Red Wolves | Spokane Velocity FC |
|---|---|---|
| Forward Madison FC | 2-5 L | 0-1 L |
| One Knoxville SC | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Charlotte Independence | 4-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Antelope Valley Alta | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Westchester SC | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Chattanooga Red Wolves (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chattanooga Red Wolves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
2-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | San Antonio FC USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/06 | One Knoxville SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
Spokane Velocity FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/07 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Oakland Roots USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 25/06 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | AC Boise USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Spokane Velocity FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chattanooga Red Wolves win (43%). Probabilities: Chattanooga Red Wolves 43%, draw 28%, Spokane Velocity FC 30%.
How many goals are expected in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Spokane Velocity FC?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.53 · Spokane Velocity FC 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Spokane Velocity FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.