Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 31/07, 20:00

Prediction: Club Leandro N. Alem vs Juventud Unida San Miguel

Team pages: Club Leandro N. Alem · Juventud Unida San Miguel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.13Total

Club Leandro N. Alem1.07

Juventud Unida San Miguel1.06

1X2

34% 33% 33%

Club Leandro N. Alem Draw Juventud Unida San Miguel

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Club Leandro N. Alem 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLDDLWLD

Juventud Unida San Miguel 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWWLDW

Head-to-head

Club Leandro N. Alem 1–4–0 Juventud Unida San Miguel (5 last)

Juventud Unida San Miguel1-1Club Leandro N. Alem
Juventud Unida San Miguel2-2Club Leandro N. Alem
Club Leandro N. Alem1-1Juventud Unida San Miguel
Club Leandro N. Alem2-0Juventud Unida San Miguel
Club Leandro N. Alem0-0Juventud Unida San Miguel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Leandro N. Alem 1497 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1525

	Club Leandro N. Alem	Draw	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Our model	34%	32%	33%
Market	34%	33%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Leandro N. Alem	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.1	1.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3	1.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 1.3	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X2.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.90

Under 1.751.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:57 +17’	2.63	2.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Leandro N. Alem 1–4–0 Juventud Unida San Miguel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	1-1 HT 1-0	Club Leandro N. Alem
14/07/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	2-2 HT 0-1	Club Leandro N. Alem
10/02/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	1-1 HT 1-0	Juventud Unida San Miguel
27/06/17 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	2-0 HT 0-0	Juventud Unida San Miguel
07/03/17 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	0-0 HT 0-0	Juventud Unida San Miguel

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	20	10	5	5	25	15	35
2	Club Mercedes	21	8	8	5	22	11	32
3	Berazategui	20	8	8	4	23	15	32
4	CA Lugano	21	8	8	5	25	19	32
5	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	20	8	7	5	22	17	31
6	Centro Espanol	20	8	6	6	26	18	30
7	Puerto Nuevo	21	7	9	5	18	19	30
8	Victoriano Arenas	21	6	10	5	17	13	28
9	Club Leandro N. Alem	21	7	6	8	25	34	27
10	Juventud Unida San Miguel	20	6	7	7	21	20	25
11	Defensores de Cambaceres	21	5	7	9	16	24	22
12	JJ Urquiza	21	3	11	7	9	18	20
13	Argentino de Rosario	21	2	12	7	19	26	18
14	Deportivo Paraguayo	20	3	7	10	10	26	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Leandro N. Alem	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Sacachispas	1-1 D	0-1 L
Argentino de Rosario	2-0 W	3-0 W
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	0-3 L	2-0 W
Berazategui	1-1 D	1-2 L
Victoriano Arenas	0-0 D	1-1 D
Centro Espanol	0-3 L	3-2 W
JJ Urquiza	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Leandro N. Alem

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	6	8	D
18/07	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
12/07	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	8	W
04/07	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	1	4	L
28/06	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
13/06	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
06/06	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
31/05	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	6	9	W
23/05	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	1	6	L
17/05	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	5	W

Juventud Unida San Miguel

LWWDLWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	2	5	W
12/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
05/07	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
27/06	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
14/06	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
08/06	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
31/05	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
23/05	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	3-2	4	6	W
16/05	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	0	2	W
09/05	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Leandro N. Alem win (34%). Probabilities: Club Leandro N. Alem 34%, draw 33%, Juventud Unida San Miguel 33%.

How many goals are expected in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

The model expects 2.13 goals (Club Leandro N. Alem 1.07 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1.06), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.