Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 31/07, 20:00

Prediction: Central Ballester vs Sportivo Barracas

Team pages: Central Ballester · Sportivo Barracas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Central Ballester1.21

Sportivo Barracas1.42

1X2

30% 31% 40%

Central Ballester Draw Sportivo Barracas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Central Ballester 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Sportivo Barracas 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Central Ballester 4–1–1 Sportivo Barracas (6 last)

Sportivo Barracas0-2Central Ballester
Sportivo Barracas4-2Central Ballester
Central Ballester0-0Sportivo Barracas
Central Ballester1-0Sportivo Barracas
Sportivo Barracas1-2Central Ballester
Central Ballester1-0Sportivo Barracas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Central Ballester 1472 · Sportivo Barracas 1483

	Central Ballester	Draw	Sportivo Barracas
Our model	31%	29%	41%
Market	29%	32%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Central Ballester: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Central Ballester	Sportivo Barracas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.5	1.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	6.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.10

X2.75

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.88

Under 1.751.93

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:57 +17’	3.10	2.75	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Ballester 4–1–1 Sportivo Barracas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	0-2 HT 0-1	Central Ballester
11/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	4-2 HT 2-0	Central Ballester
27/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Central Ballester	0-0 HT 0-0	Sportivo Barracas
06/10/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Central Ballester	1-0 HT 1-0	Sportivo Barracas
05/05/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	1-2 HT 1-1	Central Ballester
09/10/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Central Ballester	1-0 HT 1-0	Sportivo Barracas

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	20	10	6	4	25	15	36
2	Canuelas FC	21	9	9	3	23	13	36
3	Deportivo Espanol	21	7	10	4	18	14	31
4	Yupanqui	21	7	8	6	25	22	29
5	Leones de Rosario	20	7	8	5	19	19	29
6	General Lamadrid	21	7	8	6	18	20	29
7	Sportivo Barracas	21	8	4	9	25	23	28
8	El Porvenir	21	4	13	4	17	18	25
9	CA Atlas	20	6	7	7	16	18	25
10	Central Cordoba de Rosario	20	5	8	7	14	15	23
11	Central Ballester	20	6	4	10	19	24	22
12	CA Claypole	20	5	7	8	15	23	22
13	Deportivo Muniz	21	4	9	8	15	20	21
14	Fenix	21	5	6	10	14	22	21

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Central Ballester	Sportivo Barracas
Lujan	1-3 L	2-0 W
General Lamadrid	3-0 W	2-0 W
Leones de Rosario	1-0 W	0-2 L
CA Atlas	0-2 L	1-0 W
Canuelas FC	0-1 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Central Ballester (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Central Ballester

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-3	5	4	L
12/07	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
04/07	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
30/06	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
14/06	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
07/06	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-4	3	5	L
30/05	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
23/05	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-3	2-3	2	6	L
17/05	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
09/05	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	6	D

Sportivo Barracas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
17/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-2	2-3	4	8	L
13/07	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
06/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-3	6	8	L
29/06	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
15/06	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	3	12	W
06/06	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	11	3	L
01/06	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
23/05	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-3	1-3	8	7	L
18/05	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	4	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Central Ballester vs Sportivo Barracas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportivo Barracas win (40%). Probabilities: Central Ballester 30%, draw 31%, Sportivo Barracas 40%.

How many goals are expected in Central Ballester vs Sportivo Barracas?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Central Ballester 1.21 · Sportivo Barracas 1.42), with a 60% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Central Ballester vs Sportivo Barracas?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.