Football · Argentina Nacional B · 26/07, 20:00
Prediction: Deportivo Moron vs Ferro Carril Oeste
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.91Total
Deportivo Moron0.87
Ferro Carril Oeste1.04
1X2
Deportivo Moron
Draw
Ferro Carril Oeste
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Moron
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Ferro Carril Oeste
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Moron
2–4
Ferro Carril Oeste
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferro Carril Oeste (rating 1520 vs 1601).
- H2H favours Ferro Carril Oeste: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Moron | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.5 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.6 | 6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Moron 2–0–4 Ferro Carril Oeste
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Moron |
| 12/09/22 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Moron |
| 01/08/21 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
| 20/03/21 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Moron |
| 12/12/20 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
| 24/11/19 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Moron |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 43 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 35 |
| 3 | Colon | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 35 |
| 4 | Los Andes | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 31 |
| 6 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 31 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 31 |
| 8 | Deportivo Madryn | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 28 |
| 10 | CA San Miguel | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 25 |
| 11 | Racing de Cordoba | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 24 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 23 |
| 13 | All Boys | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 22 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Mitre | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 27 | 21 |
| 15 | CA San Telmo | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 19 |
| 17 | Central Norte | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 19 |
| 18 | CA Chaco For Ever | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Moron | Ferro Carril Oeste |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Madryn | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Defensores de Belgrano | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ferro Carril Oeste (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Moron
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 13/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 19/05 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 03/05 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | D |
Ferro Carril Oeste
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 11/07 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 05/07 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 24/05 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Moron vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferro Carril Oeste win (37%). Probabilities: Deportivo Moron 28%, draw 34%, Ferro Carril Oeste 37%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Moron vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The model expects 1.91 goals (Deportivo Moron 0.87 · Ferro Carril Oeste 1.04), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Moron vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.