Football · Argentina Nacional B · 26/07, 20:30

Prediction: CA San Miguel vs Acassuso

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.99Total

CA San Miguel1.33

Acassuso0.67

1X2

51% 31% 18%

CA San Miguel Draw Acassuso

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

CA San Miguel 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWDDDWDL

Acassuso 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWDWLLDL

Head-to-head

CA San Miguel 2–1–3 Acassuso (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA San Miguel (rating 1506 vs 1462).
H2H favours Acassuso: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA San Miguel	Acassuso
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.2	1.1 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.7	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 22.05

Under 21.76

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.95

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.56 → 1.56	Pinn 1.56
X	3.46 → 3.46	Pinn 3.46
2	6.90 → 6.90	Pinn 6.90

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:19	1.56	3.46	6.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA San Miguel 2–1–3 Acassuso

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Argentina Nacional B	Acassuso	0-2 HT 0-1	CA San Miguel
01/07/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Acassuso	2-1 HT 2-1	CA San Miguel
04/03/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA San Miguel	1-1 HT 1-0	Acassuso
20/08/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA San Miguel	2-0 HT 2-0	Acassuso
24/04/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Acassuso	2-1 HT 2-0	CA San Miguel
28/08/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Acassuso	4-1 HT 1-1	CA San Miguel

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	21	13	4	4	25	14	43
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29	19	35
3	Colon	21	9	8	4	27	17	35
4	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19	8	32
5	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	21	7	10	4	19	16	31
6	CA Estudiantes Caseros	21	8	7	6	18	16	31
7	Almirante Brown	21	8	7	6	15	13	31
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27	22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	20	7	7	6	20	17	28
10	CA San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17	21	25
11	Racing de Cordoba	21	6	6	9	20	25	24
12	Defensores de Belgrano	20	5	8	7	14	18	23
13	All Boys	21	4	10	7	13	20	22
14	Club Atletico Mitre	21	4	9	8	20	27	21
15	CA San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16	21	20
16	Acassuso	20	5	4	11	15	23	19
17	Central Norte	20	4	7	9	12	21	19
18	CA Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17	26	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA San Miguel	Acassuso
Ferro Carril Oeste	0-1 L	1-2 L
Central Norte	1-1 D	2-1 W
Deportivo Madryn	2-2 D	0-0 D
Defensores de Belgrano	0-0 D	1-0 W
Club Ciudad de Bolivar	1-1 D	0-1 L
Almirante Brown	1-0 W	0-0 D
Club Atletico Mitre	0-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Acassuso (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA San Miguel

DDLWDDDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	2	8	L
05/07	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
20/06	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	7	9	W
14/06	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
06/06	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
31/05	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
23/05	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
17/05	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-4	1	6	L
09/05	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
01/05	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	2	6	D

Acassuso

LDLWDWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-3	2	4	L
05/07	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
20/06	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	7	9	L
14/06	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
06/06	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	2-1	2-1	3	2	W
31/05	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
24/05	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
16/05	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
10/05	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
03/05	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	0	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA San Miguel vs Acassuso?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA San Miguel win (51%). Probabilities: CA San Miguel 51%, draw 31%, Acassuso 18%.

How many goals are expected in CA San Miguel vs Acassuso?

The model expects 1.99 goals (CA San Miguel 1.33 · Acassuso 0.67), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CA San Miguel vs Acassuso?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.