Football · Argentina Nacional B · 13/09, 20:30

Prediction: CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Acassuso

Team pages: CA Estudiantes Caseros · Acassuso

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.13Total

CA Estudiantes Caseros1.49

Acassuso0.63

1X2

57% 28% 15%

CA Estudiantes Caseros Draw Acassuso

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Estudiantes Caseros 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLDLWLDL

Acassuso 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

DLDDLDLLDL

Head-to-head

CA Estudiantes Caseros 3–3–0 Acassuso (6 last)

Acassuso0-1CA Estudiantes Caseros
Acassuso1-1CA Estudiantes Caseros
CA Estudiantes Caseros2-1Acassuso
Acassuso1-2CA Estudiantes Caseros
CA Estudiantes Caseros0-0Acassuso
CA Estudiantes Caseros1-1Acassuso

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1488 · Acassuso 1424

	CA Estudiantes Caseros	Draw	Acassuso
Our model	57%	28%	15%
Market	57%	28%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Estudiantes Caseros (rating 1488 vs 1424).
H2H favours CA Estudiantes Caseros: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Estudiantes Caseros	Acassuso
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	0.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.1	1.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.5	5.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.30

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 05:36

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.59 → 1.63▲	Pinn 1.63
X	3.44 → 3.43▼	Pinn 3.43
2	6.06 → 6.02▼	Pinn 6.02

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:24 +6’	1.59	3.44	6.06
02:32 +52’	1.60▲	3.48▲	6.19▲
04:50 +46’	1.63▲	3.43▼	6.02▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Estudiantes Caseros 3–3–0 Acassuso

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Argentina Nacional B	Acassuso	0-1 HT 0-0	CA Estudiantes Caseros
23/03/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Acassuso	1-1 HT 1-1	CA Estudiantes Caseros
16/10/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Estudiantes Caseros	2-1 HT 0-0	Acassuso
22/04/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Acassuso	1-2 HT 0-1	CA Estudiantes Caseros
06/12/17 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Estudiantes Caseros	0-0 HT 0-0	Acassuso
24/06/17 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Estudiantes Caseros	1-1 HT 0-0	Acassuso

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	28	16	6	6	34	25	54
2	Deportivo Moron	28	15	7	6	45	26	52
3	Deportivo Madryn	28	12	10	6	41	26	46
4	Godoy Cruz	28	13	7	8	34	25	46
5	Colon	28	12	9	7	35	23	45
6	Almirante Brown	28	12	9	7	23	16	45
7	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	28	9	11	8	24	26	38
8	Los Andes	28	8	12	8	21	16	36
9	CA Estudiantes Caseros	28	9	9	10	25	25	36
10	Racing de Cordoba	28	9	8	11	25	32	35
11	CA Chaco For Ever	28	8	8	12	26	29	32
12	Club Atletico Mitre	28	6	13	9	27	35	31
13	All Boys	28	6	13	9	16	24	31
14	Defensores de Belgrano	28	6	12	10	20	25	30
15	Central Norte	28	6	12	10	19	27	30
16	CA San Miguel	28	6	11	11	22	32	29
17	CA San Telmo	28	6	10	12	22	33	28
18	Acassuso	28	5	8	15	19	33	23

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Estudiantes Caseros	Acassuso
CA Chaco For Ever	0-1 L	1-1 D
Racing de Cordoba	1-1 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Estudiantes Caseros

DWDLDLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
30/08	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
23/08	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
16/08	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-0	3	9	W
08/08	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
01/08	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
25/07	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	1-2	1-2	7	7	L
17/07	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
11/07	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	3-0	3-0	6	0	W
05/07	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	7	3	D

Acassuso

DLDDLDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
01/09	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	11	5	D
26/08	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	7	8	L
21/08	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	8	7	L
14/08	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
09/08	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	1-3	1-4	2	9	L
01/08	Colon Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-1	2	7	D
26/07	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
12/07	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-3	2	4	L
05/07	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	5	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Acassuso?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Estudiantes Caseros win (57%). Probabilities: CA Estudiantes Caseros 57%, draw 28%, Acassuso 15%.

How many goals are expected in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Acassuso?

The model expects 2.13 goals (CA Estudiantes Caseros 1.49 · Acassuso 0.63), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Acassuso?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.