Football · Argentina Nacional B · 22/08, 22:00

Prediction: CA Guemes vs Atletico Rafaela

Team pages: CA Guemes · Atletico Rafaela

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.85Total
CA Guemes0.89
Atletico Rafaela0.96
1X2
31% 34% 35%
CA Guemes Draw Atletico Rafaela
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA Guemes 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WLWLLLLLLD
Atletico Rafaela 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDDLLLWDWD
Head-to-head
CA Guemes 1–2–1 Atletico Rafaela (4 last)
  • Atletico Rafaela1-2CA Guemes
  • CA Guemes1-1Atletico Rafaela
  • Atletico Rafaela1-1CA Guemes
  • CA Guemes0-2Atletico Rafaela
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Guemes 1448 · Atletico Rafaela 1485
CA GuemesDrawAtletico Rafaela
Our model31%35%34%
Market32%33%35%
Estimated total (ours) 1.85 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA GuemesAtletico Rafaela
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.90.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.32.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.14.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Guemes 121 Atletico Rafaela

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/04/26
Argentina Nacional B
Atletico Rafaela1-2
HT 0-1
CA Guemes
02/10/22
Argentina Nacional B
CA Guemes1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Rafaela
04/09/21
Argentina Nacional B
Atletico Rafaela1-1
HT 0-0
CA Guemes
26/04/21
Argentina Nacional B
CA Guemes0-2
HT 0-0
Atletico Rafaela

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy 251357 362944
2 Tristan Suarez 231193 231242
3 Club Atletico Temperley 2510105 272140
4 CA Atlanta 241239 302539
5 Ferrocarril Midland 241086 261738
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 251087 262238
7 Deportivo Maipu 2510510 332735
8 Atletico Rafaela 25988 181935
9 Quilmes 25889 272132
10 San Martin de Tucuman 257117 242232
11 CA Colegiales 248610 232530
12 Almagro 258611 212930
13 San Martin SJ 23788 232329
14 Nueva Chicago 23788 202229
15 Agropecuario 257810 222829
16 Chacarita Juniors 247512 182626
17 Patronato Parana 244128 182624
18 CA Guemes 235513 204020

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA GuemesAtletico Rafaela
San Martin SJ 0-2 L 1-1 D
Nueva Chicago 0-2 L 1-0 W
Club Atletico Temperley 1-4 L 0-2 L
Deportivo Maipu 1-0 W 1-3 L
Almagro 0-2 L 0-1 L
Patronato Parana 1-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 4 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Rafaela (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Guemes

WLWLLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Club Atletico Mitre
Argentina Nacional B
1-1 1-1 15 D
08/08 Agropecuario
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-3 54 L
26/07 Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 1-2 32 L
12/07 San Martin SJ
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-2 54 L
04/07 Nueva Chicago
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-2 33 L
21/06 Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentina Nacional B
1-2 1-3 60 L
14/06 Club Atletico Temperley
Argentina Nacional B
1-2 1-4 06 L
07/06 Deportivo Maipu
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-0 52 W
31/05 Almagro
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-2 17 L
24/05 Patronato Parana
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-0 42 W

Atletico Rafaela

WDDLLLWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Defensores de Belgrano
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 85 D
08/08 Chacarita Juniors
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 1-0 32 W
01/08 San Martin SJ
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-1 42 D
25/07 Nueva Chicago
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-0 45 W
18/07 Club Atletico Temperley
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-2 29 L
11/07 Deportivo Maipu
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 1-3 93 L
04/07 Almagro
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-1 25 L
23/06 Nueva Chicago
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 24 D
14/06 Patronato Parana
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 56 D
06/06 CA Colegiales
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 1-0 27 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Guemes vs Atletico Rafaela?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Rafaela win (35%). Probabilities: CA Guemes 31%, draw 34%, Atletico Rafaela 35%.

How many goals are expected in CA Guemes vs Atletico Rafaela?

The model expects 1.85 goals (CA Guemes 0.89 · Atletico Rafaela 0.96), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Guemes vs Atletico Rafaela?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.