Prediction: CA Guemes vs Atletico Rafaela
Team pages: CA Guemes · Atletico Rafaela
- Atletico Rafaela1-2CA Guemes
- CA Guemes1-1Atletico Rafaela
- Atletico Rafaela1-1CA Guemes
- CA Guemes0-2Atletico Rafaela
| CA Guemes | Draw | Atletico Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 35% | 34% |
| Market | 32% | 33% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Guemes | Atletico Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.9 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.3 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Guemes 1–2–1 Atletico Rafaela
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Atletico Rafaela | 1-2 HT 0-1 | CA Guemes |
| 02/10/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 04/09/21 Argentina Nacional B | Atletico Rafaela | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CA Guemes |
| 26/04/21 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 44 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 42 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 40 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 25 | 39 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 17 | 38 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 38 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 27 | 35 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 35 |
| 9 | Quilmes | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 21 | 32 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 32 |
| 11 | CA Colegiales | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 30 |
| 12 | Almagro | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 30 |
| 13 | San Martin SJ | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 29 |
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 29 |
| 15 | Agropecuario | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 29 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 26 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 40 | 20 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Guemes | Atletico Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin SJ | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Nueva Chicago | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Club Atletico Temperley | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Maipu | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Almagro | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Patronato Parana | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Rafaela (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Guemes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Atletico Rafaela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/06 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Guemes vs Atletico Rafaela?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Rafaela win (35%). Probabilities: CA Guemes 31%, draw 34%, Atletico Rafaela 35%.
How many goals are expected in CA Guemes vs Atletico Rafaela?
The model expects 1.85 goals (CA Guemes 0.89 · Atletico Rafaela 0.96), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Guemes vs Atletico Rafaela?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.

