Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 23/08, 12:00

Prediction: Asane (W) vs Grei (W)

Team pages: Asane (W) · Grei (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Asane (W)2.15

Grei (W)0.91

1X2

66% 20% 14%

Asane (W) Draw Grei (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Asane (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWWWWW

Grei (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLWLLW

Head-to-head

Asane (W) 5–1–0 Grei (W) (6 last)

Grei (W)0-1Asane (W)
Asane (W)1-0Grei (W)
Grei (W)0-2Asane (W)
Grei (W)1-2Asane (W)
Asane (W)1-1Grei (W)
Grei (W)1-2Asane (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Asane (W) 1602 · Grei (W) 1434

	Asane (W)	Draw	Grei (W)
Our model	65%	21%	14%
Market	66%	19%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asane (W) (rating 1602 vs 1434).
H2H favours Asane (W): 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Asane (W)	Grei (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.7	1.7 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 2.5	0.4 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.5 / 0	1.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.75

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.36▼	Bet365 1.36
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	5.25 → 6.00▲	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:26 +7’	1.38	4.75	5.25
22:58 +18’	1.36▼	4.75	6.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Asane (W) 5–1–0 Grei (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Norway Division 1 Women	Grei (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Asane (W)
02/10/21 Norway Division 1 Women	Asane (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Grei (W)
20/06/21 Norway Division 1 Women	Grei (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Asane (W)
22/11/20 Norway Division 1 Women	Grei (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Asane (W)
25/07/20 Norway Division 1 Women	Asane (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Grei (W)
29/06/19 Norway Division 1 Women	Grei (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Asane (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	15	12	2	1	38	17	38
2	Asane (W)	13	10	3	0	24	7	33
3	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	14	9	2	3	40	13	29
4	Viking FK (W)	14	9	2	3	42	17	29
5	TIL 2020 Women	13	7	2	4	29	11	23
6	Odd BK (W)	14	5	5	4	18	18	20
7	Kolbotn (W)	14	4	2	8	21	29	14
8	Bryne (W)	14	4	2	8	12	25	14
9	Grei (W)	14	4	1	9	26	30	13
10	Fyllingsdalen (W)	14	4	0	10	18	35	12
11	Klepp (W)	13	3	0	10	17	52	9
12	Frigg (W)	14	1	1	12	8	39	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Asane (W)	Grei (W)
TIL 2020 Women	1-0 W	1-1 D
Arna-Bjørnar (W)	2-1 W	2-4 L
Odd BK (W)	2-2 D	0-1 L
Kolbotn (W)	2-1 W	3-1 W
IK Start (W)	2-2 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Asane (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Asane (W)

DWDWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-0	1	0	W
08/08	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
02/08	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
21/06	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/06	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
31/05	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
16/05	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
09/05	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
03/05	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
25/04	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	2-2	–	–	D

Grei (W)

LLDLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	3-1	0	1	W
09/08	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
02/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-3	1	2	L
28/06	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	3-0	1	3	W
21/06	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	1-3	5	4	L
14/06	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	2-4	0	1	L
30/05	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
16/05	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
09/05	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-2	2-4	2	0	L
03/05	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-3	4-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Asane (W) vs Grei (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Asane (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Asane (W) 66%, draw 20%, Grei (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in Asane (W) vs Grei (W)?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Asane (W) 2.15 · Grei (W) 0.91), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Asane (W) vs Grei (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.