Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 25/07, 18:00

Prediction: Peamount Utd (W) vs Athlone Town (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Peamount Utd (W)0.96

Athlone Town (W)1.99

1X2

17% 23% 60%

Peamount Utd (W) Draw Athlone Town (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Peamount Utd (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDLWLW

Athlone Town (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Peamount Utd (W) 2–4 Athlone Town (W) (6 last)

Peamount Utd (W)0-2Athlone Town (W)
Athlone Town (W)2-0Peamount Utd (W)
Peamount Utd (W)1-0Athlone Town (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peamount Utd (W) 1471 · Athlone Town (W) 1600

	Peamount Utd (W)	Draw	Athlone Town (W)
Our model	17%	23%	60%
Market	17%	22%	61%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athlone Town (W) (rating 1471 vs 1600).
H2H favours Athlone Town (W): 4-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Peamount Utd (W)	Athlone Town (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.4	2.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	2.7 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

15.25

X4.00

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.98

2 (-1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:14 +3’	5.25	4.00	1.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Peamount Utd (W) 2–0–4 Athlone Town (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	Peamount Utd (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Athlone Town (W)
19/04/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Peamount Utd (W)
04/10/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Peamount Utd (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Athlone Town (W)
16/08/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	Peamount Utd (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Athlone Town (W)
21/06/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Peamount Utd (W)
27/07/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Peamount Utd (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Athlone Town (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	12	9	2	1	27	9	29
2	Galway (W)	10	7	3	0	18	8	24
3	Shelbourne (W)	11	6	4	1	22	11	22
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	12	6	3	3	24	14	21
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	12	5	4	3	21	17	19
6	FC Treaty United (W)	12	5	3	4	13	8	18
7	Wexford FC (W)	11	3	5	3	18	14	14
8	Peamount Utd (W)	12	4	2	6	19	27	14
9	DLR Waves (W)	12	2	2	8	7	18	8
10	Bohemians Dublin (W)	11	1	4	6	10	20	7
11	Waterford FC (W)	12	1	4	7	8	24	7
12	Cork City (W)	11	1	2	8	8	25	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Peamount Utd (W)	Athlone Town (W)
Waterford FC (W)	5-3 W	4-2 W
FC Treaty United (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Galway (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Cork City (W)	0-6 L	3-0 W
Shamrock Rovers (W)	1-0 W	3-1 W
Shelbourne (W)	2-4 L	1-1 D
Wexford FC (W)	2-5 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Athlone Town (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Peamount Utd (W)

LLWWLDLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	4-1	5-3	4	1	W
11/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
08/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
04/07	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
27/06	Galway (W) Women’s Friendly	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-3	0-6	6	2	L
13/06	Shamrock Rovers (W) Women’s Friendly	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
30/05	Lisburn Rangers (W) Women’s Friendly	4-0	6-1	8	3	W
23/05	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-2	2-4	5	2	L
16/05	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	2-5	5	1	L

Athlone Town (W)

WWWLWWDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	ZFK Skopje 2014 (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying	2-0	4-0	9	3	W
18/07	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
11/07	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
08/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
04/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
20/06	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
23/05	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
16/05	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
02/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	4-2	10	1	W
25/04	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	10	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peamount Utd (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Athlone Town (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Peamount Utd (W) 17%, draw 23%, Athlone Town (W) 60%.

How many goals are expected in Peamount Utd (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Peamount Utd (W) 0.96 · Athlone Town (W) 1.99), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Peamount Utd (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.