Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 04/09, 21:00

Prediction: Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Dublin

Team pages: Shamrock Rovers · Bohemians Dublin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Shamrock Rovers1.7

Bohemians Dublin1.46

1X2

42% 27% 32%

Shamrock Rovers Draw Bohemians Dublin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Shamrock Rovers 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWDWD

Bohemians Dublin 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWDLWW

Head-to-head

Shamrock Rovers 3–3 Bohemians Dublin (6 last)

Bohemians Dublin1-2Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers2-1Bohemians Dublin
Bohemians Dublin3-2Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers2-1Bohemians Dublin
Bohemians Dublin2-0Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers2-3Bohemians Dublin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shamrock Rovers 1536 · Bohemians Dublin 1524

	Shamrock Rovers	Draw	Bohemians Dublin
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	41%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shamrock Rovers	Bohemians Dublin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	2.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.1	2.9 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.30

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:32 +4’	2.20	3.30	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shamrock Rovers 3–0–3 Bohemians Dublin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Bohemians Dublin	1-2 HT 1-0	Shamrock Rovers
17/04/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shamrock Rovers	2-1 HT 2-0	Bohemians Dublin
27/02/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Bohemians Dublin	3-2 HT 1-0	Shamrock Rovers
26/09/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shamrock Rovers	2-1 HT 1-1	Bohemians Dublin
23/06/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Bohemians Dublin	2-0 HT 2-0	Shamrock Rovers
21/04/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shamrock Rovers	2-3 HT 2-0	Bohemians Dublin

Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	28	16	7	5	46	27	55
2	St Patricks	29	14	8	7	45	25	50
3	Bohemians Dublin	29	14	8	7	50	34	50
4	Dundalk	29	10	10	9	46	45	40
5	Shelbourne	27	8	11	8	37	39	35
6	Derry City	29	7	13	9	41	40	34
7	Galway United	28	8	10	10	36	42	34
8	Waterford FC	29	7	11	11	39	48	32
9	Drogheda United	29	6	10	13	33	48	28
10	Sligo Rovers	29	5	8	16	23	48	23

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shamrock Rovers	Bohemians Dublin
Derry City	3-3 D	5-3 W
Dundalk	3-2 W	1-2 L
Drogheda United	0-0 D	2-0 W
Sligo Rovers	2-1 W	3-0 W
Galway United	3-1 W	1-1 D
Waterford FC	2-0 W	1-3 L
Shelbourne	1-2 L	3-0 W
St Patricks	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bohemians Dublin (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shamrock Rovers

WWLWDWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-3	3-3	5	6	D
07/08	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	3-2	3-2	1	8	W
31/07	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
03/07	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
26/06	Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-0	3-1	2	1	W
22/06	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
19/06	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-0	5	6	W
12/06	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
29/05	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
25/05	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	2-1	3	5	W

Bohemians Dublin

WLLWWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	3-0	3-0	5	3	W
21/08	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	5-3	8	3	W
09/08	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-3	1-3	7	3	L
02/08	Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-1	1-1	11	5	D
03/07	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
26/06	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
22/06	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-0	3-0	5	7	W
19/06	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
12/06	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-1	1-4	6	5	L
29/05	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	3-1	12	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Dublin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shamrock Rovers win (42%). Probabilities: Shamrock Rovers 42%, draw 27%, Bohemians Dublin 32%.

How many goals are expected in Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Dublin?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Shamrock Rovers 1.7 · Bohemians Dublin 1.46), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Dublin?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.