Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 05/09, 20:45
Prediction: Sligo Rovers vs Galway United
Team pages: Sligo Rovers · Galway United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Sligo Rovers1.21
Galway United1.52
1X2
Sligo Rovers
Draw
Galway United
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Sligo Rovers
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Galway United
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sligo Rovers
3–3
Galway United
(6 last)
- Galway United3-2Sligo Rovers
- Sligo Rovers1-4Galway United
- Galway United1-0Sligo Rovers
- Sligo Rovers6-0Galway United
- Galway United0-1Sligo Rovers
- Sligo Rovers2-1Galway United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sligo Rovers 1456 · Galway United 1515
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Galway United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 28% | 43% |
| Market | 30% | 27% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Galway United (rating 1456 vs 1515).
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sligo Rovers | Galway United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.1 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.6 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sligo Rovers 3–0–3 Galway United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Galway United | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| 16/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Sligo Rovers | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Galway United |
| 27/02/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Galway United | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| 24/01/26 Europe Friendlies | Sligo Rovers | 6-0 HT 1-0 | Galway United |
| 22/09/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Galway United | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| 23/06/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Sligo Rovers | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Galway United |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 54 |
| 2 | St Patricks | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 25 | 50 |
| 3 | Bohemians Dublin | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 50 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 40 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 39 | 35 |
| 6 | Galway United | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 42 | 34 |
| 7 | Derry City | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 38 | 37 | 33 |
| 8 | Waterford FC | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 48 | 32 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 48 | 28 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 48 | 23 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sligo Rovers | Galway United |
|---|---|---|
| Bohemians Dublin | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Waterford FC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Derry City | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Dundalk | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Drogheda United | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Shamrock Rovers | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Shelbourne | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| St Patricks | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 4 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Galway United (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sligo Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/07 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
Galway United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 21/08 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 07/08 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 11/07 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/07 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sligo Rovers vs Galway United?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Galway United win (43%). Probabilities: Sligo Rovers 29%, draw 27%, Galway United 43%.
How many goals are expected in Sligo Rovers vs Galway United?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Sligo Rovers 1.21 · Galway United 1.52), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sligo Rovers vs Galway United?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.