Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE · 15/11, 02:00
Prediction: UDLAP vs Tec Mty Guadalajara
Team pages: UDLAP · Tec Mty Guadalajara
Prediction summary
Estimated points
149.6Total
UDLAP77.7
Tec Mty Guadalajara71.9
1X2
UDLAP
Tec Mty Guadalajara
Recent form · 10 last
UDLAP
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Tec Mty Guadalajara
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UDLAP
3–3
Tec Mty Guadalajara
(6 last)
- Tec Mty Guadalajara51-67UDLAP
- Tec Mty Guadalajara73-66UDLAP
- Tec Mty Guadalajara66-88UDLAP
- UDLAP80-57Tec Mty Guadalajara
- Tec Mty Guadalajara38-27UDLAP
- Tec Mty Guadalajara77-70UDLAP
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UDLAP 1483 · Tec Mty Guadalajara 1426
| UDLAP | Tec Mty Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
149.6 points · Bet365 line 145.5 · +4.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points149.6UDLAP 77.7 · Tec Mty Guadalajara 71.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UDLAP (rating 1483 vs 1426).
- UDLAP is a clear favourite (66% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| UDLAP | Tec Mty Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 68.3 / 76.9 | 72.9 / 80.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 67.2 / 78.8 | 66.4 / 82.6 |
| Est. result | 78 | 72 |
Est. total149.6
Line O/U145.5
Diff.4.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · UDLAP 3–0–3 Tec Mty Guadalajara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/25 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Guadalajara | 51-67 | UDLAP |
| 08/02/25 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Guadalajara | 73-66 | UDLAP |
| 23/03/24 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Guadalajara | 66-88 | UDLAP |
| 11/11/23 Mexico Liga ABE | UDLAP | 80-57 | Tec Mty Guadalajara |
| 11/03/23 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Guadalajara | 38-27 | UDLAP |
| 07/03/20 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Guadalajara | 77-70 | UDLAP |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UDLAP | Tec Mty Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Tec Mty Santa Fe | 67-77 L | 51-91 L |
| Tec Mty Toluca | 55-79 L | 79-82 L |
| Tec Mty Puebla | 84-77 W | 65-92 L |
| UMAD | 70-69 W | 54-57 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: UDLAP (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UDLAP
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | CETYS Mexicali Mexico Liga ABE |
67-68 | L |
| 01/11 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
71-101 | L |
| 31/10 | UPAEP Mexico Liga ABE |
76-69 | W |
| 25/10 | Tec Mty Santa Fe Mexico Liga ABE |
67-77 | L |
| 24/10 | Tec Mty Toluca Mexico Liga ABE |
55-79 | L |
| 17/10 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
52-67 | L |
| 04/10 | UANE Mexico Liga ABE |
80-71 | W |
| 03/10 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
61-91 | L |
| 27/09 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
84-77 | W |
| 26/09 | UMAD Mexico Liga ABE |
70-69 | W |
Tec Mty Guadalajara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | UP Mexico Mexico Liga ABE |
83-91 | L |
| 31/10 | Tec Mty Toluca Mexico Liga ABE |
79-82 | L |
| 29/10 | Tec Mty Santa Fe Mexico Liga ABE |
51-91 | L |
| 24/10 | UMAD Mexico Liga ABE |
54-57 | L |
| 24/10 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
65-92 | L |
| 17/10 | Anahuac Xalapa Mexico Liga ABE |
94-79 | W |
| 15/10 | Universidad Veracruzana Mexico Liga ABE |
63-70 | L |
| 04/10 | Anahuac Queretaro Mexico Liga ABE |
89-77 | W |
| 01/10 | Universidad Montrer Mexico Liga ABE |
95-92 | W |
| 27/09 | UACJ Mexico Liga ABE |
56-71 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UDLAP vs Tec Mty Guadalajara?
Our model gives 66% to UDLAP.
How many points are expected in UDLAP vs Tec Mty Guadalajara?
The model estimates 149.6 total points (UDLAP 77.7 · Tec Mty Guadalajara 71.9).