Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE · 14/11, 22:00

Prediction: UANE vs Tec Mty Monterrey

Team pages: UANE · Tec Mty Monterrey

Prediction summary
Estimated points
142.4Total
UANE65.1
Tec Mty Monterrey77.3
1X2
19% 81%
UANE Tec Mty Monterrey
Markets
Under 138.5 points 67%
Recent form · 10 last
UANE 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWWWLLLLWW
Tec Mty Monterrey 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWWLW
Head-to-head
UANE 0–4 Tec Mty Monterrey (4 last)
  • UANE57-85Tec Mty Monterrey
  • Tec Mty Monterrey71-63UANE
  • Tec Mty Monterrey89-59UANE
  • UANE61-69Tec Mty Monterrey
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UANE 1483 · Tec Mty Monterrey 1618
UANETec Mty Monterrey
Our model44%56%
Market12%88%
Estimated total (ours) 142.4 points · Bet365 line 138.5 · +3.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points142.4UANE 65.1 · Tec Mty Monterrey 77.3
Over / Under 138.5Under · 67%recent trend · ~127.8 pts · strength 11

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tec Mty Monterrey (rating 1483 vs 1618).
  • Tec Mty Monterrey is a clear favourite (81% market).
  • H2H favours Tec Mty Monterrey: 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

UANETec Mty Monterrey
Points F|A (Last 10)70 / 73.266.6 / 54.1
Points F|A (Last 5)69.8 / 73.464.2 / 50.6
Est. result6577
Est. total142.4
Line O/U138.5
Diff.3.9
Over / Under33% / 67%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · UANE 0–0–4 Tec Mty Monterrey

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/02/26
Mexico Liga ABE
UANE57-85Tec Mty Monterrey
11/10/25
Mexico Liga ABE
Tec Mty Monterrey71-63UANE
22/03/25
Mexico Liga ABE
Tec Mty Monterrey89-59UANE
10/11/24
Mexico Liga ABE
UANE61-69Tec Mty Monterrey

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUANETec Mty Monterrey
UACJ 83-60 W 62-37 W
Universidad Montrer 60-70 L 73-76 L
UPAEP 56-71 L 76-60 W
Universidad Interamericana 64-88 L 61-54 W
UDLAP 71-80 L 67-52 W
Anahuac Xalapa 77-69 W 71-66 W
Universidad Veracruzana 65-56 W 70-56 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 4 L 6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tec Mty Monterrey (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UANE

LWWWLLLLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
14/11 UANL
Mexico Liga ABE
86-78 W
01/11 UACJ
Mexico Liga ABE
83-60 W
24/10 Universidad Montrer
Mexico Liga ABE
60-70 L
17/10 UPAEP
Mexico Liga ABE
56-71 L
16/10 Universidad Interamericana
Mexico Liga ABE
64-88 L
04/10 UDLAP
Mexico Liga ABE
71-80 L
27/09 Anahuac Xalapa
Mexico Liga ABE
77-69 W
26/09 Universidad Veracruzana
Mexico Liga ABE
65-56 W
19/09 UMAD
Mexico Liga ABE
78-74 W
19/09 Tec Mty Puebla
Mexico Liga ABE
60-86 L

Tec Mty Monterrey

WWWWWWWWLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
11/11 CEU
Mexico Liga ABE
64-62 W
31/10 Universidad Montrer
Mexico Liga ABE
73-76 L
30/10 Anahuac Queretaro
Mexico Liga ABE
44-37 W
24/10 UACJ
Mexico Liga ABE
62-37 W
17/10 UP Mexico
Mexico Liga ABE
78-41 W
17/10 UDLAP
Mexico Liga ABE
67-52 W
03/10 Universidad Veracruzana
Mexico Liga ABE
70-56 W
01/10 Anahuac Xalapa
Mexico Liga ABE
71-66 W
27/09 Universidad Interamericana
Mexico Liga ABE
61-54 W
26/09 UPAEP
Mexico Liga ABE
76-60 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UANE vs Tec Mty Monterrey?

Our model gives 81% to Tec Mty Monterrey.

How many points are expected in UANE vs Tec Mty Monterrey?

The model estimates 142.4 total points (UANE 65.1 · Tec Mty Monterrey 77.3).

Over or under 138.5 points?

Recent history points to under 138.5 points (67%).