Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE · 14/11, 21:30

Prediction: UP Mexico vs CETYS Mexicali

Team pages: UP Mexico · CETYS Mexicali

Prediction summary
Estimated points
147.2Total
UP Mexico73.6
CETYS Mexicali73.6
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
50% 50%
UP Mexico CETYS Mexicali

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
UP Mexico 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLLWW
CETYS Mexicali 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLLLW
Head-to-head
UP Mexico 2–2 CETYS Mexicali (4 last)
  • UP Mexico69-60CETYS Mexicali
  • CETYS Mexicali66-62UP Mexico
  • CETYS Mexicali52-48UP Mexico
  • CETYS Mexicali70-81UP Mexico
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UP Mexico 1444 · CETYS Mexicali 1448
UP MexicoCETYS Mexicali
Our model62%38%
Market47%53%
Estimated total (ours) 147.2 points · Bet365 line 140.5 · +6.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points147.2UP Mexico 73.6 · CETYS Mexicali 73.6

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

UP MexicoCETYS Mexicali
Points F|A (Last 10)68.6 / 79.464.7 / 74.7
Points F|A (Last 5)73.4 / 79.265.6 / 74.6
Est. result7474
Est. total147.2
Line O/U140.5
Diff.6.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · UP Mexico 2–0–2 CETYS Mexicali

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/03/25
Mexico Liga ABE
UP Mexico69-60CETYS Mexicali
02/11/24
Mexico Liga ABE
CETYS Mexicali66-62UP Mexico
09/02/24
Mexico Liga ABE
CETYS Mexicali52-48UP Mexico
29/10/22
Mexico Liga ABE
CETYS Mexicali70-81UP Mexico

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUP MexicoCETYS Mexicali
UPAEP 82-77 W 74-95 L
Universidad Interamericana 72-83 L 70-65 W
Tec Mty Monterrey 41-78 L 52-62 L
CEU 45-80 L 65-93 L
Tec Mty Puebla 77-80 L 69-76 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 4 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CETYS Mexicali (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UP Mexico

LLLLLLLLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
13/11 Tec Mty Guadalajara
Mexico Liga ABE
91-83 W
31/10 UPAEP
Mexico Liga ABE
82-77 W
30/10 Universidad Interamericana
Mexico Liga ABE
72-83 L
24/10 Tec Mty Toluca
Mexico Liga ABE
50-72 L
24/10 Tec Mty Santa Fe
Mexico Liga ABE
72-81 L
17/10 Tec Mty Monterrey
Mexico Liga ABE
41-78 L
17/10 UANL
Mexico Liga ABE
78-79 L
03/10 CEU
Mexico Liga ABE
45-80 L
25/09 Tec Mty Puebla
Mexico Liga ABE
77-80 L
19/09 Anahuac Xalapa
Mexico Liga ABE
78-81 L

CETYS Mexicali

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Date Opponent FT Res.
14/11 UDLAP
Mexico Liga ABE
68-67 W
25/10 Tec Mty Puebla
Mexico Liga ABE
69-76 L
24/10 UMAD
Mexico Liga ABE
63-89 L
03/10 Universidad Montrer
Mexico Liga ABE
54-58 L
02/10 Anahuac Queretaro
Mexico Liga ABE
74-83 L
26/09 UACJ
Mexico Liga ABE
58-59 L
19/09 Universidad Interamericana
Mexico Liga ABE
70-65 W
19/09 UPAEP
Mexico Liga ABE
74-95 L
12/04 Tec Mty Monterrey
Mexico Liga ABE
52-62 L
11/04 CEU
Mexico Liga ABE
65-93 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UP Mexico vs CETYS Mexicali?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (UP Mexico 50% · CETYS Mexicali 50%).

How many points are expected in UP Mexico vs CETYS Mexicali?

The model estimates 147.2 total points (UP Mexico 73.6 · CETYS Mexicali 73.6).