Prediction: UPAEP vs Tec Mty Santa Fe
Team pages: UPAEP · Tec Mty Santa Fe
- UPAEP85-74Tec Mty Santa Fe
- Tec Mty Santa Fe99-101UPAEP
- UPAEP54-61Tec Mty Santa Fe
- Tec Mty Santa Fe64-70UPAEP
- UPAEP100-47Tec Mty Santa Fe
| UPAEP | Tec Mty Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tec Mty Santa Fe (rating 1505 vs 1588).
- Tec Mty Santa Fe is a clear favourite (75% market).
- H2H favours UPAEP: 4-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| UPAEP | Tec Mty Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 71.3 / 72.4 | 90.3 / 70.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74.4 / 82.4 | 91 / 62.6 |
| Est. result | 74 | 84 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · UPAEP 4–0–1 Tec Mty Santa Fe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Mexico Liga ABE | UPAEP | 85-74 | Tec Mty Santa Fe |
| 29/11/25 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Santa Fe | 99-101 | UPAEP |
| 15/02/25 Mexico Liga ABE | UPAEP | 54-61 | Tec Mty Santa Fe |
| 06/10/24 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Santa Fe | 64-70 | UPAEP |
| 15/02/20 Mexico Liga ABE | UPAEP | 100-47 | Tec Mty Santa Fe |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UPAEP | Tec Mty Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Interamericana | 87-90 L | 93-83 W |
| UP Mexico | 77-82 L | 81-72 W |
| UDLAP | 69-76 L | 77-67 W |
| Universidad Veracruzana | 77-73 W | 113-40 W |
| UACJ | 83-80 W | 83-62 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Tec Mty Santa Fe (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UPAEP
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Tec Mty Toluca Mexico Liga ABE |
57-83 | L |
| 05/11 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
87-90 | L |
| 31/10 | UP Mexico Mexico Liga ABE |
77-82 | L |
| 31/10 | UDLAP Mexico Liga ABE |
69-76 | L |
| 22/10 | Anahuac Xalapa Mexico Liga ABE |
82-81 | W |
| 22/10 | Universidad Veracruzana Mexico Liga ABE |
77-73 | W |
| 17/10 | UANE Mexico Liga ABE |
71-56 | W |
| 17/10 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
41-33 | W |
| 02/10 | UACJ Mexico Liga ABE |
83-80 | W |
| 27/09 | UANL Mexico Liga ABE |
69-70 | L |
Tec Mty Santa Fe
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
93-83 | W |
| 07/11 | Universidad Veracruzana Mexico Liga ABE |
113-40 | W |
| 29/10 | Tec Mty Guadalajara Mexico Liga ABE |
91-51 | W |
| 25/10 | UDLAP Mexico Liga ABE |
77-67 | W |
| 24/10 | UP Mexico Mexico Liga ABE |
81-72 | W |
| 18/10 | UACJ Mexico Liga ABE |
83-62 | W |
| 03/10 | UMAD Mexico Liga ABE |
98-88 | W |
| 03/10 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
95-89 | W |
| 27/09 | Anahuac Queretaro Mexico Liga ABE |
90-96 | L |
| 26/09 | Universidad Montrer Mexico Liga ABE |
82-57 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UPAEP vs Tec Mty Santa Fe?
Our model gives 75% to Tec Mty Santa Fe.
How many points are expected in UPAEP vs Tec Mty Santa Fe?
The model estimates 157.6 total points (UPAEP 74.1 · Tec Mty Santa Fe 83.5).
Over or under 160.5 points?
Recent history points to under 160.5 points (68%).