Prediction: UPAEP vs Tec Mty Toluca
Team pages: UPAEP · Tec Mty Toluca
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Tec Mty Toluca68-60UPAEP
- UPAEP82-73Tec Mty Toluca
- Tec Mty Toluca80-73UPAEP
- Tec Mty Toluca80-74UPAEP
- UPAEP67-64Tec Mty Toluca
- UPAEP61-76Tec Mty Toluca
| UPAEP | Tec Mty Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Tec Mty Toluca: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| UPAEP | Tec Mty Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 71.6 / 71.7 | 77.9 / 71.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.4 / 80.4 | 81.2 / 65.8 |
| Est. result | 75 | 75 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · UPAEP 2–0–4 Tec Mty Toluca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Toluca | 68-60 | UPAEP |
| 07/02/26 Mexico Liga ABE | UPAEP | 82-73 | Tec Mty Toluca |
| 27/09/25 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Toluca | 80-73 | UPAEP |
| 23/02/25 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Toluca | 80-74 | UPAEP |
| 12/10/24 Mexico Liga ABE | UPAEP | 67-64 | Tec Mty Toluca |
| 26/04/24 Mexico Liga ABE | UPAEP | 61-76 | Tec Mty Toluca |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UPAEP | Tec Mty Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| UP Mexico | 77-82 L | 72-50 W |
| UDLAP | 69-76 L | 79-55 W |
| UACJ | 83-80 W | 85-68 W |
| UANL | 69-70 L | 79-74 W |
| Tec Mty Monterrey | 60-76 L | 56-78 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tec Mty Toluca (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UPAEP
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
87-90 | L |
| 31/10 | UP Mexico Mexico Liga ABE |
77-82 | L |
| 31/10 | UDLAP Mexico Liga ABE |
69-76 | L |
| 22/10 | Anahuac Xalapa Mexico Liga ABE |
82-81 | W |
| 22/10 | Universidad Veracruzana Mexico Liga ABE |
77-73 | W |
| 17/10 | UANE Mexico Liga ABE |
71-56 | W |
| 17/10 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
41-33 | W |
| 02/10 | UACJ Mexico Liga ABE |
83-80 | W |
| 27/09 | UANL Mexico Liga ABE |
69-70 | L |
| 26/09 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
60-76 | L |
Tec Mty Toluca
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Tec Mty Guadalajara Mexico Liga ABE |
82-79 | W |
| 24/10 | UP Mexico Mexico Liga ABE |
72-50 | W |
| 24/10 | UDLAP Mexico Liga ABE |
79-55 | W |
| 17/10 | UACJ Mexico Liga ABE |
85-68 | W |
| 03/10 | UMAD Mexico Liga ABE |
88-77 | W |
| 26/09 | Universidad Montrer Mexico Liga ABE |
77-61 | W |
| 26/09 | Anahuac Queretaro Mexico Liga ABE |
93-115 | L |
| 20/09 | UANL Mexico Liga ABE |
79-74 | W |
| 19/09 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
56-78 | L |
| 03/05 | UPAEP Mexico Liga ABE |
68-60 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UPAEP vs Tec Mty Toluca?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (UPAEP 49% · Tec Mty Toluca 51%).
How many points are expected in UPAEP vs Tec Mty Toluca?
The model estimates 149.9 total points (UPAEP 74.8 · Tec Mty Toluca 75.1).