Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE · 13/11, 21:00
Prediction: UP Mexico vs Tec Mty Guadalajara
Team pages: UP Mexico · Tec Mty Guadalajara
Prediction summary
Estimated points
149.2Total
UP Mexico76.2
Tec Mty Guadalajara73
1X2
UP Mexico
Tec Mty Guadalajara
Recent form · 10 last
UP Mexico
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Tec Mty Guadalajara
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UP Mexico
3–3
Tec Mty Guadalajara
(6 last)
- Tec Mty Guadalajara63-45UP Mexico
- UP Mexico70-66Tec Mty Guadalajara
- Tec Mty Guadalajara71-73UP Mexico
- UP Mexico71-74Tec Mty Guadalajara
- Tec Mty Guadalajara58-68UP Mexico
- Tec Mty Guadalajara89-66UP Mexico
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UP Mexico 1419 · Tec Mty Guadalajara 1453
| UP Mexico | Tec Mty Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
149.2 points · Bet365 line 149.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points149.2UP Mexico 76.2 · Tec Mty Guadalajara 73
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| UP Mexico | Tec Mty Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 65.9 / 78.5 | 72 / 79.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 63.4 / 78.2 | 68.6 / 80.2 |
| Est. result | 76 | 73 |
Est. total149.2
Line O/U149.5
Diff.0.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · UP Mexico 3–0–3 Tec Mty Guadalajara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Guadalajara | 63-45 | UP Mexico |
| 08/03/25 Mexico Liga ABE | UP Mexico | 70-66 | Tec Mty Guadalajara |
| 26/10/24 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Guadalajara | 71-73 | UP Mexico |
| 08/03/24 Mexico Liga ABE | UP Mexico | 71-74 | Tec Mty Guadalajara |
| 21/10/23 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Guadalajara | 58-68 | UP Mexico |
| 26/11/22 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Guadalajara | 89-66 | UP Mexico |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UP Mexico | Tec Mty Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| UPAEP | 82-77 W | 74-86 L |
| Tec Mty Toluca | 50-72 L | 79-82 L |
| Tec Mty Santa Fe | 72-81 L | 51-91 L |
| Tec Mty Puebla | 77-80 L | 65-92 L |
| Anahuac Xalapa | 78-81 L | 94-79 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: UP Mexico (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UP Mexico
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | UPAEP Mexico Liga ABE |
82-77 | W |
| 30/10 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
72-83 | L |
| 24/10 | Tec Mty Toluca Mexico Liga ABE |
50-72 | L |
| 24/10 | Tec Mty Santa Fe Mexico Liga ABE |
72-81 | L |
| 17/10 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
41-78 | L |
| 17/10 | UANL Mexico Liga ABE |
78-79 | L |
| 03/10 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
45-80 | L |
| 25/09 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
77-80 | L |
| 19/09 | Anahuac Xalapa Mexico Liga ABE |
78-81 | L |
| 11/04 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
64-74 | L |
Tec Mty Guadalajara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Tec Mty Toluca Mexico Liga ABE |
79-82 | L |
| 29/10 | Tec Mty Santa Fe Mexico Liga ABE |
51-91 | L |
| 24/10 | UMAD Mexico Liga ABE |
54-57 | L |
| 24/10 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
65-92 | L |
| 17/10 | Anahuac Xalapa Mexico Liga ABE |
94-79 | W |
| 15/10 | Universidad Veracruzana Mexico Liga ABE |
63-70 | L |
| 04/10 | Anahuac Queretaro Mexico Liga ABE |
89-77 | W |
| 01/10 | Universidad Montrer Mexico Liga ABE |
95-92 | W |
| 27/09 | UACJ Mexico Liga ABE |
56-71 | L |
| 19/09 | UPAEP Mexico Liga ABE |
74-86 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UP Mexico vs Tec Mty Guadalajara?
Our model gives 59% to UP Mexico.
How many points are expected in UP Mexico vs Tec Mty Guadalajara?
The model estimates 149.2 total points (UP Mexico 76.2 · Tec Mty Guadalajara 73).