Basketball · Philippines UAAP Women · 11/11, 05:00
Prediction: NU Lady Bulldogs (W) vs ADU Falcons (W)
Team pages: NU Lady Bulldogs (W) · ADU Falcons (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
146.5Total
NU Lady Bulldogs (W)77.4
ADU Falcons (W)69.2
1X2
NU Lady Bulldogs (W)
ADU Falcons (W)
Recent form · 10 last
NU Lady Bulldogs (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
ADU Falcons (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NU Lady Bulldogs (W)
6–0
ADU Falcons (W)
(6 last)
- NU Lady Bulldogs (W)71-51ADU Falcons (W)
- NU Lady Bulldogs (W)86-57ADU Falcons (W)
- NU Lady Bulldogs (W)69-51ADU Falcons (W)
- ADU Falcons (W)53-72NU Lady Bulldogs (W)
- ADU Falcons (W)52-74NU Lady Bulldogs (W)
- NU Lady Bulldogs (W)76-61ADU Falcons (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NU Lady Bulldogs (W) 1479 · ADU Falcons (W) 1528
| NU Lady Bulldogs (W) | ADU Falcons (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
146.5 points · Bet365 line 142.5 · +4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points146.5NU Lady Bulldogs (W) 77.4 · ADU Falcons (W) 69.2
Match keys
- NU Lady Bulldogs (W) is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours NU Lady Bulldogs (W): 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| NU Lady Bulldogs (W) | ADU Falcons (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 74.8 / 73.9 | 68.7 / 66.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.8 / 76.4 | 67.8 / 66.2 |
| Est. result | 77 | 69 |
Est. total146.5
Line O/U142.5
Diff.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · NU Lady Bulldogs (W) 6–0–0 ADU Falcons (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/26 Philippines UAAP Women | NU Lady Bulldogs (W) | 71-51 | ADU Falcons (W) |
| 08/11/25 Philippines UAAP Women | NU Lady Bulldogs (W) | 86-57 | ADU Falcons (W) |
| 08/10/25 Philippines UAAP Women | NU Lady Bulldogs (W) | 69-51 | ADU Falcons (W) |
| 10/11/24 Philippines UAAP Women | ADU Falcons (W) | 53-72 | NU Lady Bulldogs (W) |
| 25/09/24 Philippines UAAP Women | ADU Falcons (W) | 52-74 | NU Lady Bulldogs (W) |
| 15/11/23 Philippines UAAP Women | NU Lady Bulldogs (W) | 76-61 | ADU Falcons (W) |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NU Lady Bulldogs (W) | ADU Falcons (W) |
|---|---|---|
| DLSU Green Archers (W) | 83-84 L | 70-68 W |
| FEU Lady Tamaraws (W) | 81-85 L | 79-75 W |
| ADMU Eagles (W) | 84-60 W | 52-70 L |
| UP Maroons (W) | 71-82 L | 66-59 W |
| UST Tigresses (W) | 66-90 L | 65-83 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: ADU Falcons (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NU Lady Bulldogs (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | DLSU Green Archers (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
83-84 | L |
| 31/10 | FEU Lady Tamaraws (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
81-85 | L |
| 28/10 | ADMU Eagles (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
84-60 | W |
| 24/10 | DLSU Green Archers (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
75-71 | W |
| 21/10 | UP Maroons (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
71-82 | L |
| 18/10 | FEU Lady Tamaraws (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
66-60 | W |
| 10/10 | UST Tigresses (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
66-90 | L |
| 03/10 | ADMU Eagles (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
87-77 | W |
| 30/09 | ADU Falcons (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
71-51 | W |
| 14/12 | UST Tigresses (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
64-79 | L |
ADU Falcons (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | UE Red Warriors (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
94-77 | W |
| 04/11 | UP Maroons (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
66-59 | W |
| 31/10 | ADMU Eagles (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
52-70 | L |
| 28/10 | FEU Lady Tamaraws (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
79-75 | W |
| 24/10 | FEU Lady Tamaraws (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
48-50 | L |
| 21/10 | ADMU Eagles (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
79-70 | W |
| 18/10 | DLSU Green Archers (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
70-68 | W |
| 11/10 | UE Red Warriors (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
67-50 | W |
| 07/10 | UP Maroons (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
67-60 | W |
| 03/10 | UST Tigresses (W) Philippines UAAP Women |
65-83 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NU Lady Bulldogs (W) vs ADU Falcons (W)?
Our model gives 72% to NU Lady Bulldogs (W).
How many points are expected in NU Lady Bulldogs (W) vs ADU Falcons (W)?
The model estimates 146.5 total points (NU Lady Bulldogs (W) 77.4 · ADU Falcons (W) 69.2).