Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE · 11/11, 03:00

Prediction: CEU vs Tec Mty Monterrey

Team pages: CEU · Tec Mty Monterrey

Prediction summary
Estimated points
140.4Total
CEU69.7
Tec Mty Monterrey70.7
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
47% 53%
CEU Tec Mty Monterrey

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets
Under 139.5 points 76%
Recent form · 10 last
CEU 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWLLWW
Tec Mty Monterrey 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWWWWWWL
Head-to-head
CEU 4–2 Tec Mty Monterrey (6 last)
  • CEU66-68Tec Mty Monterrey
  • Tec Mty Monterrey56-65CEU
  • CEU82-71Tec Mty Monterrey
  • Tec Mty Monterrey61-56CEU
  • Tec Mty Monterrey69-83CEU
  • CEU88-65Tec Mty Monterrey
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CEU 1554 · Tec Mty Monterrey 1575
CEUTec Mty Monterrey
Our model60%40%
Market44%56%
Estimated total (ours) 140.4 points · Bet365 line 139.5 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points140.4CEU 69.7 · Tec Mty Monterrey 70.7

Match keys

  • H2H favours CEU: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

CEUTec Mty Monterrey
Points F|A (Last 10)74.2 / 59.566 / 54.9
Points F|A (Last 5)66.4 / 66.464.8 / 48.6
Est. result7071
Est. total140.4
Line O/U139.5
Diff.0.9
Over / Under24% / 76%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · CEU 4–0–2 Tec Mty Monterrey

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/04/26
Mexico Liga ABE
CEU66-68Tec Mty Monterrey
18/10/25
Mexico Liga ABE
Tec Mty Monterrey56-65CEU
06/03/25
Mexico Liga ABE
CEU82-71Tec Mty Monterrey
26/10/24
Mexico Liga ABE
Tec Mty Monterrey61-56CEU
14/03/24
Mexico Liga ABE
Tec Mty Monterrey69-83CEU
03/11/23
Mexico Liga ABE
CEU88-65Tec Mty Monterrey

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCEUTec Mty Monterrey
UACJ 78-74 W 62-37 W
Universidad Montrer 80-78 W 73-76 L
Universidad Interamericana 59-62 L 61-54 W
UPAEP 33-41 L 76-60 W
Anahuac Queretaro 82-77 W 44-37 W
UP Mexico 80-45 W 78-41 W
UDLAP 91-61 W 67-52 W
Universidad Veracruzana 92-38 W 70-56 W
Anahuac Xalapa 78-58 W 71-66 W
Record vs common 7 W 0 D 2 L 8 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tec Mty Monterrey (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CEU

WWWWWWLLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
31/10 UACJ
Mexico Liga ABE
78-74 W
24/10 Universidad Montrer
Mexico Liga ABE
80-78 W
17/10 Universidad Interamericana
Mexico Liga ABE
59-62 L
17/10 UPAEP
Mexico Liga ABE
33-41 L
10/10 Anahuac Queretaro
Mexico Liga ABE
82-77 W
03/10 UP Mexico
Mexico Liga ABE
80-45 W
03/10 UDLAP
Mexico Liga ABE
91-61 W
26/09 Universidad Veracruzana
Mexico Liga ABE
92-38 W
26/09 Anahuac Xalapa
Mexico Liga ABE
78-58 W
20/09 Tec Mty Puebla
Mexico Liga ABE
69-61 W

Tec Mty Monterrey

LWWWWWWWWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
31/10 Universidad Montrer
Mexico Liga ABE
73-76 L
30/10 Anahuac Queretaro
Mexico Liga ABE
44-37 W
24/10 UACJ
Mexico Liga ABE
62-37 W
17/10 UP Mexico
Mexico Liga ABE
78-41 W
17/10 UDLAP
Mexico Liga ABE
67-52 W
03/10 Universidad Veracruzana
Mexico Liga ABE
70-56 W
01/10 Anahuac Xalapa
Mexico Liga ABE
71-66 W
27/09 Universidad Interamericana
Mexico Liga ABE
61-54 W
26/09 UPAEP
Mexico Liga ABE
76-60 W
20/09 Tec Mty Santa Fe
Mexico Liga ABE
58-70 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CEU vs Tec Mty Monterrey?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (CEU 47% · Tec Mty Monterrey 53%).

How many points are expected in CEU vs Tec Mty Monterrey?

The model estimates 140.4 total points (CEU 69.7 · Tec Mty Monterrey 70.7).