Basketball · Colombia Liga · 11/11, 02:30
Prediction: Motilones Del Norte vs Paisas
Team pages: Motilones Del Norte · Paisas
Prediction summary
Estimated points
160.8Total
Motilones Del Norte78.1
Paisas82.7
1X2
Motilones Del Norte
Paisas
Recent form · 10 last
Motilones Del Norte
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Paisas
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Motilones Del Norte
2–4
Paisas
(6 last)
- Paisas78-94Motilones Del Norte
- Paisas87-73Motilones Del Norte
- Motilones Del Norte57-101Paisas
- Motilones Del Norte88-85Paisas
- Paisas81-78Motilones Del Norte
- Paisas91-86Motilones Del Norte
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Motilones Del Norte 1502 · Paisas 1569
| Motilones Del Norte | Paisas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
160.8 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · -4.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points160.8Motilones Del Norte 78.1 · Paisas 82.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paisas (rating 1502 vs 1569).
- H2H favours Paisas: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Motilones Del Norte | Paisas | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81 / 82.9 | 86.7 / 73.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80 / 82.2 | 87.6 / 77 |
| Est. result | 78 | 83 |
Est. total160.8
Line O/U165.5
Diff.4.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Motilones Del Norte 2–0–4 Paisas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 Colombia Liga | Paisas | 78-94 | Motilones Del Norte |
| 07/11/26 Colombia Liga | Paisas | 87-73 | Motilones Del Norte |
| 06/11/26 Colombia Liga | Motilones Del Norte | 57-101 | Paisas |
| 05/11/26 Colombia Liga | Motilones Del Norte | 88-85 | Paisas |
| 26/04/26 Colombia Liga | Paisas | 81-78 | Motilones Del Norte |
| 25/04/26 Colombia Liga | Paisas | 91-86 | Motilones Del Norte |
Standings · Colombia Liga · LBP 2026-II, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toros del Valle | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1062 | 732 | 23 |
| 2 | Paisas | 12 | 9 | 3 | 1041 | 819 | 21 |
| 3 | Sabios de Manizales | 12 | 2 | 10 | 689 | 955 | 14 |
| 4 | Caribbean Storm Islands | 12 | 2 | 10 | 803 | 1089 | 14 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Motilones Del Norte
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
94-78 | W |
| 07/11 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
73-87 | L |
| 06/11 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
57-101 | L |
| 05/11 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
88-85 | W |
| 23/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
88-60 | W |
| 22/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
83-79 | W |
| 19/10 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
77-73 | W |
| 18/10 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
108-106 | W |
| 15/10 | Piratas de Bogota Colombia Liga |
69-66 | W |
| 14/10 | Piratas de Bogota Colombia Liga |
73-94 | L |
Paisas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
78-94 | L |
| 07/11 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
87-73 | W |
| 06/11 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
101-57 | W |
| 05/11 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
85-88 | L |
| 31/10 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
87-73 | W |
| 29/10 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
91-77 | W |
| 28/10 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
93-91 | W |
| 21/10 | Sabios de Manizales Colombia Liga |
83-48 | W |
| 20/10 | Sabios de Manizales Colombia Liga |
88-57 | W |
| 17/10 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
74-78 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Motilones Del Norte vs Paisas?
Our model gives 63% to Paisas.
How many points are expected in Motilones Del Norte vs Paisas?
The model estimates 160.8 total points (Motilones Del Norte 78.1 · Paisas 82.7).