Basketball · Bahrain Premier League · 10/11, 18:00
Prediction: Al Muharraq vs Al Nuwaidrat
Team pages: Al Muharraq · Al Nuwaidrat
Prediction summary
Estimated points
172.4Total
Al Muharraq96
Al Nuwaidrat76.4
1X2
Al Muharraq
Al Nuwaidrat
Recent form · 10 last
Al Muharraq
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Al Nuwaidrat
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Muharraq
4–2
Al Nuwaidrat
(6 last)
- Al Nuwaidrat122-97Al Muharraq
- Al Muharraq107-95Al Nuwaidrat
- Al Nuwaidrat61-85Al Muharraq
- Al Muharraq107-79Al Nuwaidrat
- Al Nuwaidrat89-88Al Muharraq
- Al Nuwaidrat71-95Al Muharraq
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Muharraq 1631 · Al Nuwaidrat 1475
| Al Muharraq | Al Nuwaidrat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 20% |
| Market | 95% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
172.4 points · Bet365 line 175.5 · -3.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points172.4Al Muharraq 96 · Al Nuwaidrat 76.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Muharraq (rating 1631 vs 1475).
- Al Muharraq is a clear favourite (92% market).
- H2H favours Al Muharraq: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Al Muharraq | Al Nuwaidrat | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 97.9 / 75.9 | 79.4 / 84.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 108.6 / 75 | 76 / 79.4 |
| Est. result | 96 | 76 |
Est. total172.4
Line O/U175.5
Diff.3.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Muharraq 4–0–2 Al Nuwaidrat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/26 Bahrain BA Cup | Al Nuwaidrat | 122-97 | Al Muharraq |
| 28/01/26 Bahrain Premier League | Al Muharraq | 107-95 | Al Nuwaidrat |
| 25/12/25 Bahrain Premier League | Al Nuwaidrat | 61-85 | Al Muharraq |
| 13/11/25 Bahrain Premier League | Al Muharraq | 107-79 | Al Nuwaidrat |
| 22/12/23 Bahrain Premier League | Al Nuwaidrat | 89-88 | Al Muharraq |
| 19/12/22 Bahrain Premier League | Al Nuwaidrat | 71-95 | Al Muharraq |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Muharraq | Al Nuwaidrat |
|---|---|---|
| Al Najma | 100-91 W | 78-97 L |
| Al Ittihad (Bahrain) | 127-77 W | 59-70 L |
| Isa Town | 124-74 W | 92-70 W |
| Sitra | 97-73 W | 82-83 L |
| Al Manama | 89-81 W | 67-94 L |
| Al Ahli (Bahrain) | 102-63 W | 69-77 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Muharraq (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Muharraq
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Al Najma Bahrain Premier League |
100-91 | W |
| 29/10 | Al Ittihad (Bahrain) Bahrain Premier League |
127-77 | W |
| 19/10 | Isa Town Bahrain Premier League |
124-74 | W |
| 14/10 | Sitra Bahrain Premier League |
97-73 | W |
| 06/10 | Samaheej Bahrain Premier League |
95-60 | W |
| 17/04 | Al Manama Bahrain Premier League |
89-81 | W |
| 14/04 | Al Manama Bahrain Premier League |
83-89 | L |
| 11/04 | Al Manama Bahrain Premier League |
88-80 | W |
| 08/04 | Al Manama Bahrain Premier League |
74-71 | W |
| 01/04 | Al Ahli (Bahrain) Bahrain Premier League |
102-63 | W |
Al Nuwaidrat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Isa Town Bahrain Premier League |
92-70 | W |
| 27/10 | Sitra Bahrain Premier League |
82-83 | L |
| 21/10 | Al Ittihad (Bahrain) Bahrain Premier League |
59-70 | L |
| 13/10 | Al Ahli (Bahrain) Bahrain Premier League |
69-77 | L |
| 04/10 | Al Najma Bahrain Premier League |
78-97 | L |
| 22/02 | Al Najma Bahrain Premier League |
88-82 | W |
| 18/02 | Al Manama Bahrain Premier League |
67-94 | L |
| 11/02 | Al Hala Bahrain Premier League |
90-82 | W |
| 05/02 | Al Ahli (Bahrain) Bahrain Premier League |
74-79 | L |
| 28/01 | Al Muharraq Bahrain Premier League |
95-107 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Muharraq vs Al Nuwaidrat?
Our model gives 92% to Al Muharraq.
How many points are expected in Al Muharraq vs Al Nuwaidrat?
The model estimates 172.4 total points (Al Muharraq 96 · Al Nuwaidrat 76.4).