Basketball · Argentina Liga Nacional · 10/11, 00:00
Prediction: Boca Juniors vs La Union Formosa
Team pages: Boca Juniors · La Union Formosa
Prediction summary
Estimated points
170.2Total
Boca Juniors90
La Union Formosa80.1
1X2
Boca Juniors
La Union Formosa
Recent form · 10 last
Boca Juniors
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
La Union Formosa
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boca Juniors
4–2
La Union Formosa
(6 last)
- La Union Formosa83-93Boca Juniors
- Boca Juniors80-77La Union Formosa
- La Union Formosa97-92Boca Juniors
- Boca Juniors97-91La Union Formosa
- La Union Formosa83-81Boca Juniors
- Boca Juniors89-83La Union Formosa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boca Juniors 1588 · La Union Formosa 1475
| Boca Juniors | La Union Formosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
170.2 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · +5.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points170.2Boca Juniors 90 · La Union Formosa 80.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boca Juniors (rating 1588 vs 1475).
- Boca Juniors is a clear favourite (76% market).
- H2H favours Boca Juniors: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Boca Juniors | La Union Formosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87.9 / 85 | 83.9 / 82.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85.4 / 79 | 82.2 / 81.2 |
| Est. result | 90 | 80 |
Est. total170.2
Line O/U164.5
Diff.5.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Juniors 4–0–2 La Union Formosa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | La Union Formosa | 83-93 | Boca Juniors |
| 18/10/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Boca Juniors | 80-77 | La Union Formosa |
| 07/05/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | La Union Formosa | 97-92 | Boca Juniors |
| 21/01/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Boca Juniors | 97-91 | La Union Formosa |
| 29/03/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | La Union Formosa | 83-81 | Boca Juniors |
| 23/01/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | Boca Juniors | 89-83 | La Union Formosa |
Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quimsa | 7 | 7 | 0 | 594 | 514 | 14 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 5 | 1 | 493 | 447 | 11 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Comodoro | 10 | 8 | 2 | 766 | 735 | 18 |
| 4 | Atenas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 510 | 498 | 10 |
| 5 | Instituto | 6 | 4 | 2 | 448 | 442 | 10 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 4 | 3 | 619 | 573 | 11 |
| 7 | Olimpico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 612 | 600 | 11 |
| 8 | La Union Formosa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 319 | 309 | 6 |
| 9 | Platense | 6 | 3 | 3 | 482 | 482 | 9 |
| 10 | Argentino Junin | 7 | 3 | 4 | 544 | 567 | 10 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 375 | 388 | 7 |
| 12 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 8 | 3 | 5 | 647 | 665 | 11 |
| 13 | Independiente de Oliva | 3 | 1 | 2 | 276 | 267 | 4 |
| 14 | Ferrocarril Oeste | 6 | 2 | 4 | 492 | 513 | 8 |
| 15 | Obera TC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 465 | 490 | 8 |
| 16 | Lanus | 10 | 3 | 7 | 771 | 815 | 13 |
| 17 | Regatas | 5 | 1 | 4 | 364 | 383 | 6 |
| 18 | San Martin | 7 | 0 | 7 | 572 | 661 | 7 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boca Juniors | La Union Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| Racing de Chivilcoy | 80-72 W | 68-74 L |
| Argentino Junin | 82-84 L | 75-57 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boca Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | San Martin Argentina Liga Nacional |
90-63 | W |
| 29/10 | Regatas Argentina Liga Nacional |
95-83 | W |
| 24/10 | Racing de Chivilcoy Argentina Liga Nacional |
80-72 | W |
| 22/10 | Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional |
82-84 | L |
| 13/10 | Olimpico Argentina Liga Nacional |
80-93 | L |
| 11/10 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
96-105 | L |
| 08/10 | Obera TC Argentina Liga Nacional |
96-73 | W |
| 01/06 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
83-94 | L |
| 30/05 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
99-92 | W |
| 26/05 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-91 | L |
La Union Formosa
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional |
75-57 | W |
| 16/10 | Racing de Chivilcoy Argentina Liga Nacional |
68-74 | L |
| 07/10 | Platense Argentina Liga Nacional |
90-86 | W |
| 05/10 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
86-92 | L |
| 03/05 | Independiente de Oliva Argentina Liga Nacional |
92-97 | L |
| 01/05 | Independiente de Oliva Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-83 | L |
| 27/04 | Independiente de Oliva Argentina Liga Nacional |
86-62 | W |
| 25/04 | Independiente de Oliva Argentina Liga Nacional |
91-102 | L |
| 18/04 | Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional |
82-84 | L |
| 15/04 | Penarol Argentina Liga Nacional |
91-85 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors vs La Union Formosa?
Our model gives 76% to Boca Juniors.
How many points are expected in Boca Juniors vs La Union Formosa?
The model estimates 170.2 total points (Boca Juniors 90 · La Union Formosa 80.1).