Basketball · Philippines UAAP · 08/11, 10:00

Prediction: UST Growling Tigers vs FEU Tamaraws

Team pages: UST Growling Tigers · FEU Tamaraws

Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.4Total
UST Growling Tigers79
FEU Tamaraws80.4
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
46% 54%
UST Growling Tigers FEU Tamaraws

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
UST Growling Tigers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWWLLWWLLL
FEU Tamaraws 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWWWWLLLWW
Head-to-head
UST Growling Tigers 4–2 FEU Tamaraws (6 last)
  • UST Growling Tigers81-69FEU Tamaraws
  • UST Growling Tigers83-75FEU Tamaraws
  • UST Growling Tigers79-81FEU Tamaraws
  • UST Growling Tigers92-80FEU Tamaraws
  • FEU Tamaraws72-63UST Growling Tigers
  • UST Growling Tigers79-70FEU Tamaraws
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UST Growling Tigers 1474 · FEU Tamaraws 1539
UST Growling TigersFEU Tamaraws
Our model54%46%
Market44%56%
Estimated total (ours) 159.4 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · +2.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points159.4UST Growling Tigers 79 · FEU Tamaraws 80.4

Match keys

  • H2H favours UST Growling Tigers: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

UST Growling TigersFEU Tamaraws
Points F|A (Last 10)81.8 / 83.379.2 / 72.7
Points F|A (Last 5)82.6 / 81.474.6 / 74.8
Est. result7980
Est. total159.4
Line O/U156.5
Diff.2.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · UST Growling Tigers 4–0–2 FEU Tamaraws

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
14/10/26
Philippines UAAP
UST Growling Tigers81-69FEU Tamaraws
06/06/26
Philippines Preseason Cup
UST Growling Tigers83-75FEU Tamaraws
26/11/25
Philippines UAAP
UST Growling Tigers79-81FEU Tamaraws
15/10/25
Philippines UAAP
UST Growling Tigers92-80FEU Tamaraws
02/06/25
Philippines Preseason Cup
FEU Tamaraws72-63UST Growling Tigers
27/10/24
Philippines UAAP
UST Growling Tigers79-70FEU Tamaraws

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUST Growling TigersFEU Tamaraws
NU Bulldogs 71-75 L 65-69 L
DLSU Green Archers 80-92 L 90-78 W
UP Fighting Maroons 101-103 L 90-79 W
Ateneo Blue Eagles 80-68 W 72-75 L
ADU Falcons 57-85 L 73-66 W
UE Red Warriors 98-87 W 94-83 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 4 L 4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FEU Tamaraws (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UST Growling Tigers

LWWLLWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
31/10 NU Bulldogs
Philippines UAAP
71-75 L
25/10 DLSU Green Archers
Philippines UAAP
80-92 L
21/10 UP Fighting Maroons
Philippines UAAP
101-103 L
17/10 Ateneo Blue Eagles
Philippines UAAP
80-68 W
14/10 FEU Tamaraws
Philippines UAAP
81-69 W
10/10 NU Bulldogs
Philippines UAAP
85-87 L
03/10 ADU Falcons
Philippines UAAP
57-85 L
30/09 UE Red Warriors
Philippines UAAP
98-87 W
16/09 DLSU Green Archers
Philippines UAAP
80-75 W
13/09 UP Fighting Maroons
Philippines UAAP
85-92 L

FEU Tamaraws

LWWWWLLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
04/11 UE Red Warriors
Philippines UAAP
94-83 W
28/10 ADU Falcons
Philippines UAAP
73-66 W
24/10 Ateneo Blue Eagles
Philippines UAAP
72-75 L
18/10 NU Bulldogs
Philippines UAAP
65-69 L
14/10 UST Growling Tigers
Philippines UAAP
69-81 L
10/10 Ateneo Blue Eagles
Philippines UAAP
93-70 W
04/10 UP Fighting Maroons
Philippines UAAP
90-79 W
30/09 DLSU Green Archers
Philippines UAAP
90-78 W
26/09 UE Red Warriors
Philippines UAAP
93-70 W
13/09 ADU Falcons
Philippines UAAP
53-56 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UST Growling Tigers vs FEU Tamaraws?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (UST Growling Tigers 46% · FEU Tamaraws 54%).

How many points are expected in UST Growling Tigers vs FEU Tamaraws?

The model estimates 159.4 total points (UST Growling Tigers 79 · FEU Tamaraws 80.4).