Basketball · Denmark Basketligaen Women · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: BMS Herlev (W) vs Hørsholm 79ers (W)

Team pages: BMS Herlev (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

140.8Total

BMS Herlev (W)79.8

Hørsholm 79ers (W)61

1X2

91% 9%

BMS Herlev (W) Hørsholm 79ers (W)

Recent form · 10 last

BMS Herlev (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLWLWW

Hørsholm 79ers (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWWLLL

Head-to-head

BMS Herlev (W) 6–0 Hørsholm 79ers (W) (6 last)

Hørsholm 79ers (W)40-73BMS Herlev (W)
BMS Herlev (W)79-52Hørsholm 79ers (W)
Hørsholm 79ers (W)57-79BMS Herlev (W)
Hørsholm 79ers (W)53-77BMS Herlev (W)
Hørsholm 79ers (W)68-80BMS Herlev (W)
BMS Herlev (W)63-49Hørsholm 79ers (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BMS Herlev (W) 1583 · Hørsholm 79ers (W) 1386

	BMS Herlev (W)	Hørsholm 79ers (W)
Our model	84%	16%
Market	93%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 140.8 points · Bet365 line 134.5 · +6.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points140.8BMS Herlev (W) 79.8 · Hørsholm 79ers (W) 61

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BMS Herlev (W) (rating 1583 vs 1386).
BMS Herlev (W) is a clear favourite (91% market).
H2H favours BMS Herlev (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BMS Herlev (W)	Hørsholm 79ers (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	65.5 / 61	54.1 / 71
Points F\|A (Last 5)	68.6 / 68.4	54 / 64.4
Est. result	80	61

Est. total140.8

Line O/U134.5

Diff.6.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.01

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-21.5)1.83

2 (+21.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 134.51.83

Under 134.51.83

Diff.: 8.7 · Est. total: 125.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 17:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01	Bet365 1.01
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	2
14:48 +7’	1.01	13.00
15:51 +2’	1.01▲	12.00▼
17:45 +10’	1.01▼	13.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BMS Herlev (W) 6–0–0 Hørsholm 79ers (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/09/26 Denmark Basketligaen Women	Hørsholm 79ers (W)	40-73	BMS Herlev (W)
27/02/26 Denmark Basketligaen Women	BMS Herlev (W)	79-52	Hørsholm 79ers (W)
21/01/26 Denmark Basketligaen Women	Hørsholm 79ers (W)	57-79	BMS Herlev (W)
22/11/25 Denmark Cup Women	Hørsholm 79ers (W)	53-77	BMS Herlev (W)
04/10/25 Denmark Basketligaen Women	Hørsholm 79ers (W)	68-80	BMS Herlev (W)
21/04/21 Denmark Dameligaen Women	BMS Herlev (W)	63-49	Hørsholm 79ers (W)

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BMS Herlev (W)	Hørsholm 79ers (W)
Abyhoj IF (W)	79-74 W	55-74 L
SISU (W)	75-49 W	71-67 W
Skovbakken (W)	63-85 L	65-76 L
BK Amager (W)	70-55 W	49-65 L
Falcon (W)	68-59 W	40-36 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: BMS Herlev (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BMS Herlev (W)

LWWWWLWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Abyhoj IF (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	79-74	W
24/10	SISU (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	75-49	W
17/10	Skovbakken (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	63-85	L
10/10	BK Amager (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	70-55	W
03/10	Abyhoj IF (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	56-79	L
26/09	Falcon (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	68-59	W
23/09	Hørsholm 79ers (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	73-40	W
11/05	SISU (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	67-63	W
07/05	SISU (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	55-53	W
29/04	SISU (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	49-53	L

Hørsholm 79ers (W)

LLLLLWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/11	BK Amager (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	49-65	L
31/10	Skovbakken (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	65-76	L
17/10	BK Amager (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	45-78	L
10/10	Falcon (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	40-36	W
03/10	SISU (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	71-67	W
27/09	Skovbakken (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	58-77	L
23/09	BMS Herlev (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	40-73	L
20/09	Abyhoj IF (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	55-74	L
20/03	SISU (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	55-65	L
07/03	SISU (W) Denmark Basketligaen Women	63-99	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BMS Herlev (W) vs Hørsholm 79ers (W)?

Our model gives 91% to BMS Herlev (W).

How many points are expected in BMS Herlev (W) vs Hørsholm 79ers (W)?

The model estimates 140.8 total points (BMS Herlev (W) 79.8 · Hørsholm 79ers (W) 61).