Basketball · Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 · 07/11, 15:00
Prediction: Villa Alemana Basquet U21 vs Sportiva Italiana U21
Team pages: Villa Alemana Basquet U21 · Sportiva Italiana U21
Prediction summary
Estimated points
141.6Total
Villa Alemana Basquet U2168.8
Sportiva Italiana U2172.7
1X2
Villa Alemana Basquet U21
Sportiva Italiana U21
Recent form · 10 last
Villa Alemana Basquet U21
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Sportiva Italiana U21
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Villa Alemana Basquet U21
0–2
Sportiva Italiana U21
(2 last)
- Sportiva Italiana U2159-53Villa Alemana Basquet U21
- Sportiva Italiana U2177-62Villa Alemana Basquet U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Villa Alemana Basquet U21 1542 · Sportiva Italiana U21 1630
| Villa Alemana Basquet U21 | Sportiva Italiana U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 37% | 63% |
Estimated total (ours)
141.6 points · Bet365 line 130.5 · +11.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points141.6Villa Alemana Basquet U21 68.8 · Sportiva Italiana U21 72.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportiva Italiana U21 (rating 1542 vs 1630).
- H2H favours Sportiva Italiana U21: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Villa Alemana Basquet U21 | Sportiva Italiana U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 70 / 63.8 | 75.1 / 53.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 71.6 / 63.4 | 76.6 / 54.4 |
| Est. result | 69 | 73 |
Est. total141.6
Line O/U130.5
Diff.11.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Villa Alemana Basquet U21 0–0–2 Sportiva Italiana U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 | Sportiva Italiana U21 | 59-53 | Villa Alemana Basquet U21 |
| 22/08/26 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 | Sportiva Italiana U21 | 77-62 | Villa Alemana Basquet U21 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Villa Alemana Basquet U21 | Sportiva Italiana U21 |
|---|---|---|
| San Felipe U21 | 65-53 W | 83-61 W |
| Colegio Los Leones U21 | 78-80 L | 76-69 W |
| Aguilas La Calera U21 | 70-48 W | 60-26 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportiva Italiana U21 (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Villa Alemana Basquet U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Sportiva Italiana U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
53-59 | L |
| 25/10 | Arturo Prat U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
76-66 | W |
| 24/10 | Arturo Prat U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
74-62 | W |
| 11/10 | Arturo Prat U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
78-79 | L |
| 03/10 | Liceo Mixto San Felipe U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
77-51 | W |
| 28/09 | Liceo Mixto San Felipe U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
67-63 | W |
| 30/08 | San Felipe U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
65-53 | W |
| 29/08 | Colegio Los Leones U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
78-80 | L |
| 23/08 | Aguilas La Calera U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
70-48 | W |
| 22/08 | Sportiva Italiana U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
62-77 | L |
Sportiva Italiana U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Villa Alemana Basquet U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
59-53 | W |
| 17/10 | CD Humboldt U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
74-53 | W |
| 13/10 | CD Humboldt U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
87-67 | W |
| 27/09 | Arabe Valparaiso U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
75-31 | W |
| 14/09 | Arabe Valparaiso U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
88-68 | W |
| 06/09 | San Felipe U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
83-61 | W |
| 31/08 | Colegio Los Leones U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
76-69 | W |
| 30/08 | Aguilas La Calera U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
60-26 | W |
| 29/08 | San Felipe U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
61-48 | W |
| 27/08 | Colegio Los Leones U21 Chile Liga Desarrollo U21 |
88-55 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Villa Alemana Basquet U21 vs Sportiva Italiana U21?
Our model gives 61% to Sportiva Italiana U21.
How many points are expected in Villa Alemana Basquet U21 vs Sportiva Italiana U21?
The model estimates 141.6 total points (Villa Alemana Basquet U21 68.8 · Sportiva Italiana U21 72.7).