Basketball · Philippines UAAP · 07/11, 11:00
Prediction: UP Fighting Maroons vs Ateneo Blue Eagles
Team pages: UP Fighting Maroons · Ateneo Blue Eagles
Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.2Total
UP Fighting Maroons81.6
Ateneo Blue Eagles77.7
1X2
UP Fighting Maroons
Ateneo Blue Eagles
Recent form · 10 last
UP Fighting Maroons
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Ateneo Blue Eagles
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UP Fighting Maroons
6–0
Ateneo Blue Eagles
(6 last)
- Ateneo Blue Eagles75-94UP Fighting Maroons
- Ateneo Blue Eagles75-79UP Fighting Maroons
- Ateneo Blue Eagles69-83UP Fighting Maroons
- Ateneo Blue Eagles47-75UP Fighting Maroons
- Ateneo Blue Eagles75-82UP Fighting Maroons
- UP Fighting Maroons57-46Ateneo Blue Eagles
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UP Fighting Maroons 1535 · Ateneo Blue Eagles 1497
| UP Fighting Maroons | Ateneo Blue Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
159.2 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · +2.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points159.2UP Fighting Maroons 81.6 · Ateneo Blue Eagles 77.7
Match keys
- H2H favours UP Fighting Maroons: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| UP Fighting Maroons | Ateneo Blue Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.6 / 79.7 | 76.7 / 78.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85 / 79 | 71 / 77.2 |
| Est. result | 82 | 78 |
Est. total159.2
Line O/U156.5
Diff.2.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · UP Fighting Maroons 6–0–0 Ateneo Blue Eagles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Philippines UAAP | Ateneo Blue Eagles | 75-94 | UP Fighting Maroons |
| 19/11/25 Philippines UAAP | Ateneo Blue Eagles | 75-79 | UP Fighting Maroons |
| 08/10/25 Philippines UAAP | Ateneo Blue Eagles | 69-83 | UP Fighting Maroons |
| 30/10/24 Philippines UAAP | Ateneo Blue Eagles | 47-75 | UP Fighting Maroons |
| 01/06/24 Philippines Preseason Cup | Ateneo Blue Eagles | 75-82 | UP Fighting Maroons |
| 25/11/23 Philippines UAAP | UP Fighting Maroons | 57-46 | Ateneo Blue Eagles |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UP Fighting Maroons | Ateneo Blue Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| ADU Falcons | 82-70 W | 73-68 W |
| UST Growling Tigers | 103-101 W | 68-80 L |
| UE Red Warriors | 91-81 W | 101-74 W |
| DLSU Green Archers | 80-76 W | 73-76 L |
| FEU Tamaraws | 79-90 L | 75-72 W |
| NU Bulldogs | 64-72 L | 69-65 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UP Fighting Maroons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | ADU Falcons Philippines UAAP |
82-70 | W |
| 21/10 | UST Growling Tigers Philippines UAAP |
103-101 | W |
| 17/10 | UE Red Warriors Philippines UAAP |
91-81 | W |
| 14/10 | ADU Falcons Philippines UAAP |
69-67 | W |
| 11/10 | DLSU Green Archers Philippines UAAP |
80-76 | W |
| 04/10 | FEU Tamaraws Philippines UAAP |
79-90 | L |
| 26/09 | NU Bulldogs Philippines UAAP |
64-72 | L |
| 19/09 | Ateneo Blue Eagles Philippines UAAP |
94-75 | W |
| 13/09 | UST Growling Tigers Philippines UAAP |
92-85 | W |
| 17/12 | DLSU Green Archers Philippines UAAP |
72-80 | L |
Ateneo Blue Eagles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | DLSU Green Archers Philippines UAAP |
73-76 | L |
| 28/10 | NU Bulldogs Philippines UAAP |
69-65 | W |
| 24/10 | FEU Tamaraws Philippines UAAP |
75-72 | W |
| 17/10 | UST Growling Tigers Philippines UAAP |
68-80 | L |
| 10/10 | FEU Tamaraws Philippines UAAP |
70-93 | L |
| 07/10 | DLSU Green Archers Philippines UAAP |
76-83 | L |
| 03/10 | NU Bulldogs Philippines UAAP |
87-76 | W |
| 26/09 | ADU Falcons Philippines UAAP |
73-68 | W |
| 19/09 | UP Fighting Maroons Philippines UAAP |
75-94 | L |
| 16/09 | UE Red Warriors Philippines UAAP |
101-74 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UP Fighting Maroons vs Ateneo Blue Eagles?
Our model gives 61% to UP Fighting Maroons.
How many points are expected in UP Fighting Maroons vs Ateneo Blue Eagles?
The model estimates 159.2 total points (UP Fighting Maroons 81.6 · Ateneo Blue Eagles 77.7).