Basketball · Philippines UAAP · 07/11, 07:30
Prediction: ADU Falcons vs UE Red Warriors
Team pages: ADU Falcons · UE Red Warriors
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Prediction summary
Estimated points
150.2Total
ADU Falcons80
UE Red Warriors70.1
1X2
ADU Falcons
UE Red Warriors
Recent form · 10 last
ADU Falcons
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
UE Red Warriors
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ADU Falcons
6–0
UE Red Warriors
(6 last)
- ADU Falcons71-64UE Red Warriors
- ADU Falcons56-53UE Red Warriors
- ADU Falcons77-62UE Red Warriors
- UE Red Warriors67-71ADU Falcons
- ADU Falcons68-55UE Red Warriors
- ADU Falcons45-37UE Red Warriors
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ADU Falcons 1457 · UE Red Warriors 1412
| ADU Falcons | UE Red Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
150.2 points · Bet365 line 149.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points150.2ADU Falcons 80 · UE Red Warriors 70.1
Match keys
- ADU Falcons is a clear favourite (76% market).
- H2H favours ADU Falcons: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| ADU Falcons | UE Red Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 67.3 / 68.8 | 75.3 / 89.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 67.4 / 69.6 | 77.8 / 88.4 |
| Est. result | 80 | 70 |
Est. total150.2
Line O/U149.5
Diff.0.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · ADU Falcons 6–0–0 UE Red Warriors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/26 Philippines UAAP | ADU Falcons | 71-64 | UE Red Warriors |
| 25/10/25 Philippines UAAP | ADU Falcons | 56-53 | UE Red Warriors |
| 11/10/25 Philippines UAAP | ADU Falcons | 77-62 | UE Red Warriors |
| 23/06/25 Philippines Preseason Cup | UE Red Warriors | 67-71 | ADU Falcons |
| 27/11/24 Philippines UAAP | ADU Falcons | 68-55 | UE Red Warriors |
| 30/10/24 Philippines UAAP | ADU Falcons | 45-37 | UE Red Warriors |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ADU Falcons | UE Red Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| UP Fighting Maroons | 70-82 L | 81-91 L |
| FEU Tamaraws | 66-73 L | 83-94 L |
| DLSU Green Archers | 63-60 W | 74-74 D |
| NU Bulldogs | 66-85 L | 56-76 L |
| UST Growling Tigers | 85-57 W | 87-98 L |
| Ateneo Blue Eagles | 68-73 L | 74-101 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: ADU Falcons (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ADU Falcons
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | UP Fighting Maroons Philippines UAAP |
70-82 | L |
| 28/10 | FEU Tamaraws Philippines UAAP |
66-73 | L |
| 18/10 | DLSU Green Archers Philippines UAAP |
63-60 | W |
| 14/10 | UP Fighting Maroons Philippines UAAP |
67-69 | L |
| 11/10 | UE Red Warriors Philippines UAAP |
71-64 | W |
| 07/10 | NU Bulldogs Philippines UAAP |
66-85 | L |
| 03/10 | UST Growling Tigers Philippines UAAP |
85-57 | W |
| 26/09 | Ateneo Blue Eagles Philippines UAAP |
68-73 | L |
| 13/09 | FEU Tamaraws Philippines UAAP |
56-53 | W |
| 23/11 | Ateneo Blue Eagles Philippines UAAP |
61-72 | L |
UE Red Warriors
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | FEU Tamaraws Philippines UAAP |
83-94 | L |
| 21/10 | DLSU Green Archers Philippines UAAP |
74-74 | D |
| 17/10 | UP Fighting Maroons Philippines UAAP |
81-91 | L |
| 11/10 | ADU Falcons Philippines UAAP |
64-71 | L |
| 04/10 | DLSU Green Archers Philippines UAAP |
87-112 | L |
| 30/09 | UST Growling Tigers Philippines UAAP |
87-98 | L |
| 26/09 | FEU Tamaraws Philippines UAAP |
70-93 | L |
| 19/09 | NU Bulldogs Philippines UAAP |
56-76 | L |
| 16/09 | Ateneo Blue Eagles Philippines UAAP |
74-101 | L |
| 22/11 | FEU Tamaraws Philippines UAAP |
77-84 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ADU Falcons vs UE Red Warriors?
Our model gives 76% to ADU Falcons.
How many points are expected in ADU Falcons vs UE Red Warriors?
The model estimates 150.2 total points (ADU Falcons 80 · UE Red Warriors 70.1).