Basketball · Cyprus Division A · 15/11, 16:00

Prediction: AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis Famagusta

Team pages: AEK Larnaca · Anorthosis Famagusta

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.4Total

AEK Larnaca90.5

Anorthosis Famagusta70.8

1X2

92% 8%

AEK Larnaca Anorthosis Famagusta

Recent form · 10 last

AEK Larnaca 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWWW

Anorthosis Famagusta 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

AEK Larnaca 6–0 Anorthosis Famagusta (6 last)

AEK Larnaca81-64Anorthosis Famagusta
Anorthosis Famagusta83-97AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca88-73Anorthosis Famagusta
Anorthosis Famagusta70-86AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca82-63Anorthosis Famagusta
AEK Larnaca89-83Anorthosis Famagusta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AEK Larnaca 1607 · Anorthosis Famagusta 1410

	AEK Larnaca	Anorthosis Famagusta
Our model	84%	16%
Market	94%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 161.4 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points161.4AEK Larnaca 90.5 · Anorthosis Famagusta 70.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AEK Larnaca (rating 1607 vs 1410).
AEK Larnaca is a clear favourite (92% market).
H2H favours AEK Larnaca: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	AEK Larnaca	Anorthosis Famagusta
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.6 / 73.7	78.7 / 85.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	89.6 / 69.6	75 / 82.2
Est. result	91	71

Est. total161.4

Line O/U159.5

Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.01

216.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-23.5)1.83

2 (+23.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 159.51.83

Under 159.51.83

Diff.: 0.6 · Est. total: 160.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01	Bet365 1.01
2	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.7%

Time*	1	2
11:22 +38’	1.01	16.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AEK Larnaca 6–0–0 Anorthosis Famagusta

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Cyprus Division A	AEK Larnaca	81-64	Anorthosis Famagusta
16/11/25 Cyprus Division A	Anorthosis Famagusta	83-97	AEK Larnaca
08/05/25 Cyprus Division A	AEK Larnaca	88-73	Anorthosis Famagusta
04/05/25 Cyprus Division A	Anorthosis Famagusta	70-86	AEK Larnaca
01/05/25 Cyprus Division A	AEK Larnaca	82-63	Anorthosis Famagusta
16/03/25 Cyprus Division A	AEK Larnaca	89-83	Anorthosis Famagusta

Standings · Cyprus Division A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	5	5	0	448	348	10
2	EN Paralimni	6	4	2	508	475	10
3	Keravnos	5	5	0	450	376	10
4	Apoel	6	3	3	464	451	9
5	AEL	5	4	1	389	350	9
6	Etha Engomis	5	3	2	367	368	8
7	Digenis Morphou B.C.	5	1	4	350	415	6
8	Apollon Limassol	5	1	4	354	425	6
9	Anorthosis Famagusta	5	0	5	375	411	5
10	Achilleas Kaimakliou	5	0	5	372	458	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AEK Larnaca	Anorthosis Famagusta
Digenis Morphou B.C.	103-78 W	74-76 L
Etha Engomis	87-61 W	64-67 L
EN Paralimni	85-74 W	79-92 L
Apoel	83-79 W	71-94 L
Apollon Limassol	90-56 W	98-95 W
Keravnos	68-64 W	84-94 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: AEK Larnaca (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AEK Larnaca

LWWLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Digenis Morphou B.C. Cyprus Division A	103-78	W
31/10	Etha Engomis Cyprus Division A	87-61	W
24/10	EN Paralimni Cyprus Division A	85-74	W
18/10	Apoel Cyprus Division A	83-79	W
11/10	Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division A	90-56	W
25/05	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	68-64	W
21/05	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	80-94	L
17/05	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	76-75	W
13/05	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	86-81	W
09/05	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	68-75	L

Anorthosis Famagusta

WLLLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	AEL Cyprus Division A	74-82	L
31/10	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	84-94	L
25/10	Digenis Morphou B.C. Cyprus Division A	74-76	L
19/10	Etha Engomis Cyprus Division A	64-67	L
11/10	EN Paralimni Cyprus Division A	79-92	L
07/03	Etha Engomis Cyprus Division A	90-78	W
13/02	Apoel Cyprus Division A	71-94	L
07/02	AEL Cyprus Division A	89-93	L
31/01	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	64-81	L
26/01	Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division A	98-95	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis Famagusta?

Our model gives 92% to AEK Larnaca.

How many points are expected in AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis Famagusta?

The model estimates 161.4 total points (AEK Larnaca 90.5 · Anorthosis Famagusta 70.8).