Basketball · Cyprus Division A · 16/11, 18:00

Prediction: Keravnos vs AEL

Team pages: Keravnos · AEL

Prediction summary

Estimated points

155.2Total

Keravnos82.1

AEL73.1

1X2

74% 26%

Keravnos AEL

Recent form · 10 last

Keravnos 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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AEL 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Keravnos 4–2 AEL (6 last)

Keravnos92-60AEL
AEL87-82Keravnos
Keravnos86-66AEL
AEL81-85Keravnos
Keravnos80-87AEL
Keravnos101-58AEL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Keravnos 1633 · AEL 1598

	Keravnos	AEL
Our model	67%	33%
Market	76%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 155.2 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · -4.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points155.2Keravnos 82.1 · AEL 73.1

Match keys

Keravnos is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours Keravnos: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Keravnos	AEL
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.9 / 75.4	77 / 77.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90 / 75.2	77.8 / 70
Est. result	82	73

Est. total155.2

Line O/U159.5

Diff.4.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.22

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-9.5)1.83

2 (+9.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 159.51.83

Under 159.51.83

Diff.: 2.6 · Est. total: 156.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	2
11:53 +14’	1.22	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Keravnos 4–0–2 AEL

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Cyprus Division A	Keravnos	92-60	AEL
29/04/26 Cyprus Division A	AEL	87-82	Keravnos
25/04/26 Cyprus Division A	Keravnos	86-66	AEL
22/04/26 Cyprus Division A	AEL	81-85	Keravnos
18/04/26 Cyprus Division A	Keravnos	80-87	AEL
04/04/26 Cyprus Division A	Keravnos	101-58	AEL

Standings · Cyprus Division A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	5	5	0	448	348	10
2	EN Paralimni	6	4	2	508	475	10
3	Keravnos	5	5	0	450	376	10
4	Apoel	6	3	3	464	451	9
5	AEL	5	4	1	389	350	9
6	Etha Engomis	5	3	2	367	368	8
7	Digenis Morphou B.C.	5	1	4	350	415	6
8	Apollon Limassol	5	1	4	354	425	6
9	Anorthosis Famagusta	5	0	5	375	411	5
10	Achilleas Kaimakliou	5	0	5	372	458	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Keravnos	AEL
Apoel	80-73 W	73-80 L
Anorthosis Famagusta	94-84 W	82-74 W
Digenis Morphou B.C.	91-82 W	71-49 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Keravnos (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Keravnos

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Apoel Cyprus Division A	80-73	W
31/10	Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division A	94-84	W
24/10	Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division A	90-75	W
18/10	Digenis Morphou B.C. Cyprus Division A	91-82	W
10/10	Achilleas Kaimakliou Cyprus Division A	95-62	W
25/05	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	64-68	L
21/05	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	94-80	W
17/05	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	75-76	L
13/05	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	81-86	L
09/05	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	75-68	W

AEL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division A	82-74	W
30/10	Digenis Morphou B.C. Cyprus Division A	71-49	W
26/10	Etha Engomis Cyprus Division A	74-70	W
17/10	EN Paralimni Cyprus Division A	89-77	W
12/10	Apoel Cyprus Division A	73-80	L
02/05	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	60-92	L
29/04	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	87-82	W
25/04	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	66-86	L
22/04	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	81-85	L
18/04	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	87-80	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Keravnos vs AEL?

Our model gives 74% to Keravnos.

How many points are expected in Keravnos vs AEL?

The model estimates 155.2 total points (Keravnos 82.1 · AEL 73.1).